The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent lead in recent Quebec voting intention surveys ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election, with roughly 30 percent support driven by stronger backing among francophone voters and favorable seat distribution under the first-past-the-post system. This positioning has translated into the highest implied probability among traders for a PQ victory and majority government. The incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec under Christine Fréchette and the Parti Libéral du Québec trail in the mid-20s percent range in the latest Léger and Pallas Data polling, reflecting limited momentum despite CAQ gains in some francophone segments and PLQ efforts to consolidate opposition votes. Nearly half of decided respondents report their choice remains fluid, while smaller parties such as Québec Solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec register low single-digit or low-teen shares with minimal projected seat impact. The campaign period beginning in late August will test whether these polling trends hold through the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGeneralny zwycięzca wyborów w Quebecu
Generalny zwycięzca wyborów w Quebecu
PQ 71%
PLQ 15%
CAQ 15%
PCQ <1%
$762,804 Wol.
$762,804 Wol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
71%
PLQ
15%
CAQ
15%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 71%
PLQ 15%
CAQ 15%
PCQ <1%
$762,804 Wol.
$762,804 Wol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$82,900 Wol.
71%
PLQ
$102,416 Wol.
15%
CAQ
$109,138 Wol.
15%
PCQ
$209,236 Wol.
<1%
QS
$101,615 Wol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,498 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent lead in recent Quebec voting intention surveys ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election, with roughly 30 percent support driven by stronger backing among francophone voters and favorable seat distribution under the first-past-the-post system. This positioning has translated into the highest implied probability among traders for a PQ victory and majority government. The incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec under Christine Fréchette and the Parti Libéral du Québec trail in the mid-20s percent range in the latest Léger and Pallas Data polling, reflecting limited momentum despite CAQ gains in some francophone segments and PLQ efforts to consolidate opposition votes. Nearly half of decided respondents report their choice remains fluid, while smaller parties such as Québec Solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec register low single-digit or low-teen shares with minimal projected seat impact. The campaign period beginning in late August will test whether these polling trends hold through the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$762,804Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent lead in recent Quebec voting intention surveys ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election, with roughly 30 percent support driven by stronger backing among francophone voters and favorable seat distribution under the first-past-the-post system. This positioning has translated into the highest implied probability among traders for a PQ victory and majority government. The incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec under Christine Fréchette and the Parti Libéral du Québec trail in the mid-20s percent range in the latest Léger and Pallas Data polling, reflecting limited momentum despite CAQ gains in some francophone segments and PLQ efforts to consolidate opposition votes. Nearly half of decided respondents report their choice remains fluid, while smaller parties such as Québec Solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec register low single-digit or low-teen shares with minimal projected seat impact. The campaign period beginning in late August will test whether these polling trends hold through the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Wolumen
$762,804Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent lead in recent Quebec voting intention surveys ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election, with roughly 30 percent support driven by stronger backing among francophone voters and favorable seat distribution under the first-past-the-post system. This positioning has translated into the highest implied probability among traders for a PQ victory and majority government. The incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec under Christine Fréchette and the Parti Libéral du Québec trail in the mid-20s percent range in the latest Léger and Pallas Data polling, reflecting limited momentum despite CAQ gains in some francophone segments and PLQ efforts to consolidate opposition votes. Nearly half of decided respondents report their choice remains fluid, while smaller parties such as Québec Solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec register low single-digit or low-teen shares with minimal projected seat impact. The campaign period beginning in late August will test whether these polling trends hold through the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
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