President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and that combined early presidential and parliamentary elections would follow in three to four months—narrowing the window to September–November 2026—has anchored trader expectations. Repeated public signals since late 2025, including suggestions of votes by Vidovdan or in the autumn, coupled with sustained student-led protests demanding snap polls, have kept pressure on the ruling coalition. Under Serbia’s constitutional framework the president can dissolve the National Assembly to trigger early voting well before the statutory December 2027 deadline. These official statements and procedural realities have produced the current 86 percent implied probability that parliament will be dissolved and elections called before 2027.