Recent polling averages place the Sweden Democrats ahead of the Moderate Party by 1–3 points, positioning SD as the frontrunner for second place behind the leading Social Democrats ahead of the September 13 election. This edge stems from sustained voter support on migration and crime concerns within the current Tidö Agreement framework, while the Moderates have shown slight erosion in May–June surveys from Statistics Sweden, Ipsos, and Indikator Opinion. The Social Democrats’ bloc maintains a clear overall lead, but internal right-bloc dynamics and stable SD turnout keep probabilities anchored on SD finishing ahead of M. No major late shifts have altered the relative ordering in recent weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSweden Democrats (SD) 53%
Moderate Party (M) 31%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 5.7%
Centre Party (C) 1.2%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
6%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
53%

Moderate Party (M)
31%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
7%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 53%
Moderate Party (M) 31%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 5.7%
Centre Party (C) 1.2%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
6%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
53%

Moderate Party (M)
31%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
7%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Rynek otwarty: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the Sweden Democrats ahead of the Moderate Party by 1–3 points, positioning SD as the frontrunner for second place behind the leading Social Democrats ahead of the September 13 election. This edge stems from sustained voter support on migration and crime concerns within the current Tidö Agreement framework, while the Moderates have shown slight erosion in May–June surveys from Statistics Sweden, Ipsos, and Indikator Opinion. The Social Democrats’ bloc maintains a clear overall lead, but internal right-bloc dynamics and stable SD turnout keep probabilities anchored on SD finishing ahead of M. No major late shifts have altered the relative ordering in recent weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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