Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32 percent, positioning the Sweden Democrats as the consistent runner-up near 20 percent. The Moderate Party trails in third around 17 percent across multiple surveys from June and July 2026, with limited movement in bloc support between the centre-right Tidö grouping and the opposition. Stable voter preferences, including SD strength among certain demographics and the absence of major late-campaign shifts, underpin trader consensus on second-place outcomes. Scheduled debates and any final polling adjustments in the remaining weeks remain the primary variables that could alter relative standings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSweden Democrats (SD) 85%
Moderate Party (M) 15%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.9%
Left Party (V) <1%
$30,846 Wol.
$30,846 Wol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
85%

Moderate Party (M)
15%

Centre Party (C)
<1%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
<1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 85%
Moderate Party (M) 15%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.9%
Left Party (V) <1%
$30,846 Wol.
$30,846 Wol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
85%

Moderate Party (M)
15%

Centre Party (C)
<1%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
<1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Rynek otwarty: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32 percent, positioning the Sweden Democrats as the consistent runner-up near 20 percent. The Moderate Party trails in third around 17 percent across multiple surveys from June and July 2026, with limited movement in bloc support between the centre-right Tidö grouping and the opposition. Stable voter preferences, including SD strength among certain demographics and the absence of major late-campaign shifts, underpin trader consensus on second-place outcomes. Scheduled debates and any final polling adjustments in the remaining weeks remain the primary variables that could alter relative standings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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