Recent climate analyses position 2026 for a likely second-hottest ranking on record, with a meaningful chance of claiming the top spot, as long-term anthropogenic warming combines with the projected development of El Niño conditions in the latter half of the year. Early 2026 monthly temperatures, including a fourth-highest January–March period according to NOAA data, sit below 2024 and 2025 peaks but remain well above pre-industrial baselines. Model runs from agencies such as the UK Met Office and independent assessments by Carbon Brief converge on a central estimate around 1.47 °C above pre-industrial levels, reflecting both the background trend and the timing of Pacific Ocean warming that typically amplifies global anomalies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGdzie rok 2026 znajdzie się wśród najgorętszych lat w historii?
Gdzie rok 2026 znajdzie się wśród najgorętszych lat w historii?
2 57%
1 36%
4 2.8%
6 lub niżej 2.3%
$2,821,594 Wol.
$2,821,594 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
1
36%
2
57%
3
2%
4
3%
5
1%
6 lub niżej
2%
2 57%
1 36%
4 2.8%
6 lub niżej 2.3%
$2,821,594 Wol.
$2,821,594 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
1
$453,741 Wol.
36%
2
$325,828 Wol.
57%
3
$428,457 Wol.
2%
4
$416,574 Wol.
3%
5
$732,047 Wol.
1%
6 lub niżej
$464,948 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Recent climate analyses position 2026 for a likely second-hottest ranking on record, with a meaningful chance of claiming the top spot, as long-term anthropogenic warming combines with the projected development of El Niño conditions in the latter half of the year. Early 2026 monthly temperatures, including a fourth-highest January–March period according to NOAA data, sit below 2024 and 2025 peaks but remain well above pre-industrial baselines. Model runs from agencies such as the UK Met Office and independent assessments by Carbon Brief converge on a central estimate around 1.47 °C above pre-industrial levels, reflecting both the background trend and the timing of Pacific Ocean warming that typically amplifies global anomalies.
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 12, 2025, 5:44 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,821,594Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 12, 2025, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Recent climate analyses position 2026 for a likely second-hottest ranking on record, with a meaningful chance of claiming the top spot, as long-term anthropogenic warming combines with the projected development of El Niño conditions in the latter half of the year. Early 2026 monthly temperatures, including a fourth-highest January–March period according to NOAA data, sit below 2024 and 2025 peaks but remain well above pre-industrial baselines. Model runs from agencies such as the UK Met Office and independent assessments by Carbon Brief converge on a central estimate around 1.47 °C above pre-industrial levels, reflecting both the background trend and the timing of Pacific Ocean warming that typically amplifies global anomalies.
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$2,821,594Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 12, 2025, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent climate analyses position 2026 for a likely second-hottest ranking on record, with a meaningful chance of claiming the top spot, as long-term anthropogenic warming combines with the projected development of El Niño conditions in the latter half of the year. Early 2026 monthly temperatures, including a fourth-highest January–March period according to NOAA data, sit below 2024 and 2025 peaks but remain well above pre-industrial baselines. Model runs from agencies such as the UK Met Office and independent assessments by Carbon Brief converge on a central estimate around 1.47 °C above pre-industrial levels, reflecting both the background trend and the timing of Pacific Ocean warming that typically amplifies global anomalies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania