Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran center on indirect talks mediated by Pakistan, with U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner leading negotiations alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. The most recent in-person round occurred in Islamabad on April 11-12, 2026, but produced no agreement and prompted a brief ceasefire that has since faced delays. As of early May, the sides were nearing a one-page memorandum of understanding to end hostilities and outline further nuclear and sanctions discussions, though Iran continues its internal review and U.S. officials reported stalled progress by mid-May. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether the next meeting will involve senior envoys, lower-level representatives, or proceed at all before key deadlines.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$1,186,484 Wol.
Donald Trump
4%
Marco Rubio
9%
J.D. Vance
26%
Jared Kushner
40%
Steve Witkoff
47%
$1,186,484 Wol.
Donald Trump
4%
Marco Rubio
9%
J.D. Vance
26%
Jared Kushner
40%
Steve Witkoff
47%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran center on indirect talks mediated by Pakistan, with U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner leading negotiations alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. The most recent in-person round occurred in Islamabad on April 11-12, 2026, but produced no agreement and prompted a brief ceasefire that has since faced delays. As of early May, the sides were nearing a one-page memorandum of understanding to end hostilities and outline further nuclear and sanctions discussions, though Iran continues its internal review and U.S. officials reported stalled progress by mid-May. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether the next meeting will involve senior envoys, lower-level representatives, or proceed at all before key deadlines.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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