Russian forces continue incremental advances along the Huliaipole axis in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, with Ukrainian General Staff reports confirming repeated assaults near Huliaipilske and adjacent settlements such as Myrne and Zaliznychne through mid-April 2026. DeepState maps document Russian gains near Zelene and in the broader Huliaipole sector, following the January capture of Huliaipole itself after a months-long offensive. Ukrainian counterattacks, including redeployments of brigades from the Pokrovsk area, have slowed momentum and forced Russian naval infantry shifts, yet fighting persists with reported infiltrations west of Huliaipole as of mid-May. Market pricing reflects trader assessments of whether these attritional ground operations will reach Huliaipilske before the specified resolution date amid ongoing Ukrainian defensive repositioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by...?
$60,966 Wol.
May 31
48%
$60,966 Wol.
May 31
48%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 22, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continue incremental advances along the Huliaipole axis in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, with Ukrainian General Staff reports confirming repeated assaults near Huliaipilske and adjacent settlements such as Myrne and Zaliznychne through mid-April 2026. DeepState maps document Russian gains near Zelene and in the broader Huliaipole sector, following the January capture of Huliaipole itself after a months-long offensive. Ukrainian counterattacks, including redeployments of brigades from the Pokrovsk area, have slowed momentum and forced Russian naval infantry shifts, yet fighting persists with reported infiltrations west of Huliaipole as of mid-May. Market pricing reflects trader assessments of whether these attritional ground operations will reach Huliaipilske before the specified resolution date amid ongoing Ukrainian defensive repositioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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