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Jobs predictions & odds

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How many jobs added in May?

How many jobs added in May?

33%

200k+

$369 Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

Ends in 22 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

88%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

48%

June 30, 2027

$477K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

33

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

9%

$6.3K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

10

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

71%

↑ $304

$98.7K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

72%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above __?

Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above __?

41%

$27.5B

$0 Vol.

$42 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

43%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$3.3K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

26%

$5.6K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

45%

Game

$6.6K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 13?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 13?

100%

$740

$83.2K Vol.

$82.5K today

$3M Liq.

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 14?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 14?

99%

$715

$1.6K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

Ends in about 23 hours

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

37%

80-99

$4.5K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 13?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 13?

100%

$100

$70.7K Vol.

$70.2K today

$199K Liq.

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?

66%

↑ $465

$170K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 14?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 14?

50%

$97

$2.5K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends in about 24 hours

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

80%

Up

$25.1K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1.2K Vol.

$71.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?

31%

↓ $580

$36.9K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Jobs.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Jobs that lets you track or trade on predictions like “How many jobs added in May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 84% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Jobs predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.