Democratic and Republican voter engagement levels remain closely balanced heading into the November 2026 midterms, with recent Pew data showing Democrats holding a modest edge in viewing congressional control as personally important and thinking frequently about the election. This dynamic, alongside historical midterm turnout patterns typically ranging 40-50 percent of the voting-eligible population, sustains trader consensus around 115-125 million House ballots. Primary turnout trends through mid-2026, rising youth registration rates, redistricting battles, and the economy's prominence as a mobilizing issue further contribute to the tight distribution across nearby ranges, as these factors could either elevate or constrain participation depending on late-cycle developments in battleground districts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado120-125 milhões 28%
115-120 milhões 22%
125-130 milhões 15%
110-115 milhões 12%
$23,454 Vol.
$23,454 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<85 milhões
2%
85-90 milhões
1%
90-95 milhões
3%
95-100 milhões
3%
100-105 milhões
2%
105-110 milhões
11%
110-115 milhões
12%
115-120 milhões
22%
120-125 milhões
28%
125-130 milhões
15%
130 milhões+
11%
120-125 milhões 28%
115-120 milhões 22%
125-130 milhões 15%
110-115 milhões 12%
$23,454 Vol.
$23,454 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<85 milhões
$572 Vol.
2%
85-90 milhões
$599 Vol.
1%
90-95 milhões
$1,723 Vol.
3%
95-100 milhões
$380 Vol.
3%
100-105 milhões
$978 Vol.
2%
105-110 milhões
$931 Vol.
11%
110-115 milhões
$3,928 Vol.
12%
115-120 milhões
$3,988 Vol.
22%
120-125 milhões
$7,221 Vol.
28%
125-130 milhões
$2,323 Vol.
15%
130 milhões+
$812 Vol.
11%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Democratic and Republican voter engagement levels remain closely balanced heading into the November 2026 midterms, with recent Pew data showing Democrats holding a modest edge in viewing congressional control as personally important and thinking frequently about the election. This dynamic, alongside historical midterm turnout patterns typically ranging 40-50 percent of the voting-eligible population, sustains trader consensus around 115-125 million House ballots. Primary turnout trends through mid-2026, rising youth registration rates, redistricting battles, and the economy's prominence as a mobilizing issue further contribute to the tight distribution across nearby ranges, as these factors could either elevate or constrain participation depending on late-cycle developments in battleground districts.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$23,454Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Democratic and Republican voter engagement levels remain closely balanced heading into the November 2026 midterms, with recent Pew data showing Democrats holding a modest edge in viewing congressional control as personally important and thinking frequently about the election. This dynamic, alongside historical midterm turnout patterns typically ranging 40-50 percent of the voting-eligible population, sustains trader consensus around 115-125 million House ballots. Primary turnout trends through mid-2026, rising youth registration rates, redistricting battles, and the economy's prominence as a mobilizing issue further contribute to the tight distribution across nearby ranges, as these factors could either elevate or constrain participation depending on late-cycle developments in battleground districts.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$23,454Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Democratic and Republican voter engagement levels remain closely balanced heading into the November 2026 midterms, with recent Pew data showing Democrats holding a modest edge in viewing congressional control as personally important and thinking frequently about the election. This dynamic, alongside historical midterm turnout patterns typically ranging 40-50 percent of the voting-eligible population, sustains trader consensus around 115-125 million House ballots. Primary turnout trends through mid-2026, rising youth registration rates, redistricting battles, and the economy's prominence as a mobilizing issue further contribute to the tight distribution across nearby ranges, as these factors could either elevate or constrain participation depending on late-cycle developments in battleground districts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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