Recent upward revisions in consensus forecasts, including the Central Bank of Argentina’s May 2026 survey placing median 2026 inflation at 30.5 percent and the IMF’s similar 30.4 percent projection, have anchored trader sentiment around the 30.0-34.9 percent bracket. Persistent monthly price pressures—March 2026 CPI rose 3.4 percent year-over-year to 32.6 percent—combined with sticky inflation expectations near 34 percent, have tempered optimism for faster disinflation under the Milei administration’s fiscal and monetary tightening. This keeps the 25-29.9 percent and 30.0-34.9 percent outcomes closely matched at 25.0 percent and 28.1 percent market-implied odds, respectively, as traders weigh ongoing relative price adjustments against the risk of external shocks or policy slippage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado30,0-34,9% 23.5%
40-44,9% 22.8%
25-29,9% 20%
35–39,9% 16.0%
NOVO
NOVO
10 jan 2027
<20%
7%
20-24,9%
15%
25-29,9%
25%
30,0-34,9%
28%
35–39,9%
16%
40-44,9%
23%
45%+
7%
30,0-34,9% 23.5%
40-44,9% 22.8%
25-29,9% 20%
35–39,9% 16.0%
NOVO
NOVO
10 jan 2027
<20%
$2,516 Vol.
7%
20-24,9%
$1,429 Vol.
15%
25-29,9%
$1,626 Vol.
25%
30,0-34,9%
$976 Vol.
28%
35–39,9%
$1,121 Vol.
16%
40-44,9%
$934 Vol.
23%
45%+
$1,164 Vol.
7%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent upward revisions in consensus forecasts, including the Central Bank of Argentina’s May 2026 survey placing median 2026 inflation at 30.5 percent and the IMF’s similar 30.4 percent projection, have anchored trader sentiment around the 30.0-34.9 percent bracket. Persistent monthly price pressures—March 2026 CPI rose 3.4 percent year-over-year to 32.6 percent—combined with sticky inflation expectations near 34 percent, have tempered optimism for faster disinflation under the Milei administration’s fiscal and monetary tightening. This keeps the 25-29.9 percent and 30.0-34.9 percent outcomes closely matched at 25.0 percent and 28.1 percent market-implied odds, respectively, as traders weigh ongoing relative price adjustments against the risk of external shocks or policy slippage.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$9,766Data de Término
10 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent upward revisions in consensus forecasts, including the Central Bank of Argentina’s May 2026 survey placing median 2026 inflation at 30.5 percent and the IMF’s similar 30.4 percent projection, have anchored trader sentiment around the 30.0-34.9 percent bracket. Persistent monthly price pressures—March 2026 CPI rose 3.4 percent year-over-year to 32.6 percent—combined with sticky inflation expectations near 34 percent, have tempered optimism for faster disinflation under the Milei administration’s fiscal and monetary tightening. This keeps the 25-29.9 percent and 30.0-34.9 percent outcomes closely matched at 25.0 percent and 28.1 percent market-implied odds, respectively, as traders weigh ongoing relative price adjustments against the risk of external shocks or policy slippage.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$9,766Data de Término
10 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent upward revisions in consensus forecasts, including the Central Bank of Argentina’s May 2026 survey placing median 2026 inflation at 30.5 percent and the IMF’s similar 30.4 percent projection, have anchored trader sentiment around the 30.0-34.9 percent bracket. Persistent monthly price pressures—March 2026 CPI rose 3.4 percent year-over-year to 32.6 percent—combined with sticky inflation expectations near 34 percent, have tempered optimism for faster disinflation under the Milei administration’s fiscal and monetary tightening. This keeps the 25-29.9 percent and 30.0-34.9 percent outcomes closely matched at 25.0 percent and 28.1 percent market-implied odds, respectively, as traders weigh ongoing relative price adjustments against the risk of external shocks or policy slippage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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