Canada’s June 2026 monthly GDP release, scheduled for August 28, centers trader consensus on the 0.2-0.3% MoM range at 67.5% implied probability, anchored by Statistics Canada’s advance estimate of 0.2% growth following May’s 0.3% print. Sector gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, retail, and goods-producing industries—up 0.6% on elevated oil and gas extraction—supported the reading, while utilities and agriculture weighed on the total and pointed to an 0.8% Q2 expansion. This flash figure exceeds the Bank of Canada’s July baseline amid a softer 2026 annual outlook of roughly 0.7-1.1%, reflecting Q1 weakness and lingering trade and energy-price uncertainties that keep lower outcomes like 0.0-0.1% at 15% priced in. The release remains subject to revision, with final data determining resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado0,2-0,3% 68%
0,0-0,1% 15%
0,4-0,5% 13.9%
<0,0% 3.8%
$17,226 Vol.
$17,226 Vol.
28 ago 2026
<0,0%
4%
0,0-0,1%
15%
0,2-0,3%
68%
0,4-0,5%
11%
0,6-0,7%
<1%
0,8%+
<1%
0,2-0,3% 68%
0,0-0,1% 15%
0,4-0,5% 13.9%
<0,0% 3.8%
$17,226 Vol.
$17,226 Vol.
28 ago 2026
<0,0%
$1,027 Vol.
4%
0,0-0,1%
$4,556 Vol.
15%
0,2-0,3%
$8,596 Vol.
68%
0,4-0,5%
$1,508 Vol.
11%
0,6-0,7%
$831 Vol.
<1%
0,8%+
$708 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada’s June 2026 monthly GDP release, scheduled for August 28, centers trader consensus on the 0.2-0.3% MoM range at 67.5% implied probability, anchored by Statistics Canada’s advance estimate of 0.2% growth following May’s 0.3% print. Sector gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, retail, and goods-producing industries—up 0.6% on elevated oil and gas extraction—supported the reading, while utilities and agriculture weighed on the total and pointed to an 0.8% Q2 expansion. This flash figure exceeds the Bank of Canada’s July baseline amid a softer 2026 annual outlook of roughly 0.7-1.1%, reflecting Q1 weakness and lingering trade and energy-price uncertainties that keep lower outcomes like 0.0-0.1% at 15% priced in. The release remains subject to revision, with final data determining resolution.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Volume
$17,226Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada’s June 2026 monthly GDP release, scheduled for August 28, centers trader consensus on the 0.2-0.3% MoM range at 67.5% implied probability, anchored by Statistics Canada’s advance estimate of 0.2% growth following May’s 0.3% print. Sector gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, retail, and goods-producing industries—up 0.6% on elevated oil and gas extraction—supported the reading, while utilities and agriculture weighed on the total and pointed to an 0.8% Q2 expansion. This flash figure exceeds the Bank of Canada’s July baseline amid a softer 2026 annual outlook of roughly 0.7-1.1%, reflecting Q1 weakness and lingering trade and energy-price uncertainties that keep lower outcomes like 0.0-0.1% at 15% priced in. The release remains subject to revision, with final data determining resolution.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Volume
$17,226Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Canada’s June 2026 monthly GDP release, scheduled for August 28, centers trader consensus on the 0.2-0.3% MoM range at 67.5% implied probability, anchored by Statistics Canada’s advance estimate of 0.2% growth following May’s 0.3% print. Sector gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, retail, and goods-producing industries—up 0.6% on elevated oil and gas extraction—supported the reading, while utilities and agriculture weighed on the total and pointed to an 0.8% Q2 expansion. This flash figure exceeds the Bank of Canada’s July baseline amid a softer 2026 annual outlook of roughly 0.7-1.1%, reflecting Q1 weakness and lingering trade and energy-price uncertainties that keep lower outcomes like 0.0-0.1% at 15% priced in. The release remains subject to revision, with final data determining resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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