Trump's sustained high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 18-22 posts daily throughout 2026, underpins trader consensus favoring 180-199 posts from May 8-15, with recent late-night sprees amplifying expectations. Over the past week, President Trump unleashed dozens of posts in short bursts—over 50 in three hours around midnight May 12-13—focusing on Iran tensions, including Strait of Hormuz ceasefire violations, U.S. destroyer transits under fire, and rejected diplomatic counterproposals. These escalatory developments, amid ongoing military posturing, have elevated posting frequency above historical norms, positioning 200+ as a credible rival while 160-179 trails on projections for the final days before May 15 resolution. Traders weigh sustained crisis-driven output against potential de-escalation lulls.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado180-199 48.1%
200+ 28.9%
160-179 22.2%
$276,751 Vol.
$276,751 Vol.
15 mai 2026
160-179
22%
180-199
48%
200+
29%
180-199 48.1%
200+ 28.9%
160-179 22.2%
$276,751 Vol.
$276,751 Vol.
15 mai 2026
160-179
$35,298 Vol.
22%
180-199
$11,808 Vol.
48%
200+
$22,635 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's sustained high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 18-22 posts daily throughout 2026, underpins trader consensus favoring 180-199 posts from May 8-15, with recent late-night sprees amplifying expectations. Over the past week, President Trump unleashed dozens of posts in short bursts—over 50 in three hours around midnight May 12-13—focusing on Iran tensions, including Strait of Hormuz ceasefire violations, U.S. destroyer transits under fire, and rejected diplomatic counterproposals. These escalatory developments, amid ongoing military posturing, have elevated posting frequency above historical norms, positioning 200+ as a credible rival while 160-179 trails on projections for the final days before May 15 resolution. Traders weigh sustained crisis-driven output against potential de-escalation lulls.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$276,751Data de Término
15 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's sustained high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 18-22 posts daily throughout 2026, underpins trader consensus favoring 180-199 posts from May 8-15, with recent late-night sprees amplifying expectations. Over the past week, President Trump unleashed dozens of posts in short bursts—over 50 in three hours around midnight May 12-13—focusing on Iran tensions, including Strait of Hormuz ceasefire violations, U.S. destroyer transits under fire, and rejected diplomatic counterproposals. These escalatory developments, amid ongoing military posturing, have elevated posting frequency above historical norms, positioning 200+ as a credible rival while 160-179 trails on projections for the final days before May 15 resolution. Traders weigh sustained crisis-driven output against potential de-escalation lulls.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$276,751Data de Término
15 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's sustained high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 18-22 posts daily throughout 2026, underpins trader consensus favoring 180-199 posts from May 8-15, with recent late-night sprees amplifying expectations. Over the past week, President Trump unleashed dozens of posts in short bursts—over 50 in three hours around midnight May 12-13—focusing on Iran tensions, including Strait of Hormuz ceasefire violations, U.S. destroyer transits under fire, and rejected diplomatic counterproposals. These escalatory developments, amid ongoing military posturing, have elevated posting frequency above historical norms, positioning 200+ as a credible rival while 160-179 trails on projections for the final days before May 15 resolution. Traders weigh sustained crisis-driven output against potential de-escalation lulls.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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