Latest global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a high near 19°C for Cape Town on September 2 under partly sunny skies with moderate southerly winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market's tight clustering at 19°C (45%) and 20°C (36%), reflecting trader consensus on mild spring conditions close to the early-September climatological average of roughly 18–20°C. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in afternoon cloud development, sea-breeze strength, and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the peak by 1°C. South African Weather Service updates and the next model cycles remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 2 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 2 de setembro?
19°C 44%
20°C 36%
18°C 14%
21°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
15°C ou menos
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
14%
19°C
44%
20°C
36%
21°C
8%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou mais
<1%
19°C 44%
20°C 36%
18°C 14%
21°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
15°C ou menos
$107 Vol.
1%
16°C
$44 Vol.
3%
17°C
$71 Vol.
4%
18°C
$59 Vol.
14%
19°C
$110 Vol.
44%
20°C
$86 Vol.
36%
21°C
$192 Vol.
8%
22°C
$62 Vol.
3%
23°C
$106 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
25°C ou mais
$406 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a high near 19°C for Cape Town on September 2 under partly sunny skies with moderate southerly winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market's tight clustering at 19°C (45%) and 20°C (36%), reflecting trader consensus on mild spring conditions close to the early-September climatological average of roughly 18–20°C. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in afternoon cloud development, sea-breeze strength, and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the peak by 1°C. South African Weather Service updates and the next model cycles remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,454Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a high near 19°C for Cape Town on September 2 under partly sunny skies with moderate southerly winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market's tight clustering at 19°C (45%) and 20°C (36%), reflecting trader consensus on mild spring conditions close to the early-September climatological average of roughly 18–20°C. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in afternoon cloud development, sea-breeze strength, and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the peak by 1°C. South African Weather Service updates and the next model cycles remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,454Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a high near 19°C for Cape Town on September 2 under partly sunny skies with moderate southerly winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market's tight clustering at 19°C (45%) and 20°C (36%), reflecting trader consensus on mild spring conditions close to the early-September climatological average of roughly 18–20°C. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in afternoon cloud development, sea-breeze strength, and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the peak by 1°C. South African Weather Service updates and the next model cycles remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions