National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 29 project a daily maximum near 82°F under partly sunny skies with southerly winds of 5–10 mph, aligning with trader emphasis on the 82–83°F bin at 30% implied probability. Moderate cloud cover expected later in the day and a slight chance of evening showers should limit further warming, while dew points in the mid-60s support surface temperatures close to seasonal norms of 81°F. Model consensus remains stable with no major shifts in steering patterns or upstream ridging noted in recent runs. Official resolution will rely on verified observations from primary stations like O’Hare, with final readings typically available shortly after sunset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago em 29 de agosto?
78-79°F 32%
82-83°F 31%
80-81°F 31%
76-77°F 12%
75°F ou menos
1%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
9%
30-31°C
7%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F ou mais
<1%
78-79°F 32%
82-83°F 31%
80-81°F 31%
76-77°F 12%
75°F ou menos
1%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
9%
30-31°C
7%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 29 project a daily maximum near 82°F under partly sunny skies with southerly winds of 5–10 mph, aligning with trader emphasis on the 82–83°F bin at 30% implied probability. Moderate cloud cover expected later in the day and a slight chance of evening showers should limit further warming, while dew points in the mid-60s support surface temperatures close to seasonal norms of 81°F. Model consensus remains stable with no major shifts in steering patterns or upstream ridging noted in recent runs. Official resolution will rely on verified observations from primary stations like O’Hare, with final readings typically available shortly after sunset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions