Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 78°F or higher in Denver on May 14 (99.4% implied probability), reflecting the strong alignment of major forecast models from the National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA, which project daytime highs reaching 81–91°F amid a dominant upper-level ridge over the central Rockies. This setup promotes clear skies, downslope Chinook-like warming, and minimal cloud interference, consistent with recent observations of above-normal May temperatures averaging 6°F warmer than climatological norms of around 70°F. Fire Weather Watches further underscore the dry, stable atmospheric conditions boosting heat potential. While model ensembles show high confidence, realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of Pacific moisture triggering afternoon thunderstorms or a subtle shift in the jet stream introducing cooler air, with final resolution hinging on real-time observations from Denver International Airport (KDEN) ASOS data throughout the day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on May 14?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 14?
78°F or higher 99.4%
76-77°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$32,103 Vol.
$32,103 Vol.
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
99%
78°F or higher 99.4%
76-77°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$32,103 Vol.
$32,103 Vol.
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 78°F or higher in Denver on May 14 (99.4% implied probability), reflecting the strong alignment of major forecast models from the National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA, which project daytime highs reaching 81–91°F amid a dominant upper-level ridge over the central Rockies. This setup promotes clear skies, downslope Chinook-like warming, and minimal cloud interference, consistent with recent observations of above-normal May temperatures averaging 6°F warmer than climatological norms of around 70°F. Fire Weather Watches further underscore the dry, stable atmospheric conditions boosting heat potential. While model ensembles show high confidence, realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of Pacific moisture triggering afternoon thunderstorms or a subtle shift in the jet stream introducing cooler air, with final resolution hinging on real-time observations from Denver International Airport (KDEN) ASOS data throughout the day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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