Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Jeddah's highest temperature on May 14 clustering tightly around 37-38°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, fostering subsidence inversion, clear skies, and peak solar insolation typical of early May coastal conditions. This drives trader consensus with 38°C at 34% and 37°C at 31.5% implied probabilities, reflecting genuine uncertainty from Red Sea sea breeze effects that moderate peaks—evident in May 10's actual 34°C versus model projections—and slight ensemble spread of 1-2°C. Historical May highs average 36-37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, per National Center of Meteorology (NCM) records. Evening model updates and NCM bulletins may refine guidance before official observations resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 14?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 14?
38°C 32%
37°C 30%
39°C 14%
36°C 12%
$17,056 Vol.
$17,056 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
12%
37°C
30%
38°C
32%
39°C
14%
40°C or higher
4%
38°C 32%
37°C 30%
39°C 14%
36°C 12%
$17,056 Vol.
$17,056 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
12%
37°C
30%
38°C
32%
39°C
14%
40°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Jeddah's highest temperature on May 14 clustering tightly around 37-38°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, fostering subsidence inversion, clear skies, and peak solar insolation typical of early May coastal conditions. This drives trader consensus with 38°C at 34% and 37°C at 31.5% implied probabilities, reflecting genuine uncertainty from Red Sea sea breeze effects that moderate peaks—evident in May 10's actual 34°C versus model projections—and slight ensemble spread of 1-2°C. Historical May highs average 36-37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, per National Center of Meteorology (NCM) records. Evening model updates and NCM bulletins may refine guidance before official observations resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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