Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 63% implied probability to Jeddah reaching 40°C or higher today, driven by leading forecast models like AccuWeather projecting a peak of 44°C under hazy sunshine and clear skies, well above the May average high of 37°C. This reflects an ongoing early-May heatwave, with recent observations hitting 40.4°C on May 4 and 41°C around May 6, fueled by persistent subtropical high pressure suppressing clouds and rainfall while coastal humidity amplifies heat index values. Lower outcomes like 39°C (20.5%) account for potential moderating sea breezes or model divergences; real-time data from the Saudi National Center for Meteorology and King Abdulaziz Airport station will confirm the official high by evening, amid inherent forecast uncertainty in peak hourly temperatures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
40°C or higher 66%
39°C 24%
38°C 14%
37°C 5%
$18,348 Vol.
$18,348 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
5%
38°C
14%
39°C
24%
40°C or higher
66%
40°C or higher 66%
39°C 24%
38°C 14%
37°C 5%
$18,348 Vol.
$18,348 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
5%
38°C
14%
39°C
24%
40°C or higher
66%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 63% implied probability to Jeddah reaching 40°C or higher today, driven by leading forecast models like AccuWeather projecting a peak of 44°C under hazy sunshine and clear skies, well above the May average high of 37°C. This reflects an ongoing early-May heatwave, with recent observations hitting 40.4°C on May 4 and 41°C around May 6, fueled by persistent subtropical high pressure suppressing clouds and rainfall while coastal humidity amplifies heat index values. Lower outcomes like 39°C (20.5%) account for potential moderating sea breezes or model divergences; real-time data from the Saudi National Center for Meteorology and King Abdulaziz Airport station will confirm the official high by evening, amid inherent forecast uncertainty in peak hourly temperatures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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