Latest forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a maximum temperature near 41°C for Lucknow on May 17, driven by typical pre-monsoon conditions with strong solar heating across the Indo-Gangetic Plain and limited moisture advection. Historical mid-May climatology for the region averages 40–42°C, placing the market’s 58.5% implied probability for 41°C or below in line with current model consensus and recent observational trends showing no extreme heatwave intensification. Variable westerly flow and possible localized dust effects introduce modest uncertainty for a brief spike to 42°C, reflected in its 34% odds, while higher thresholds remain low-probability outliers given the absence of exceptional synoptic support. Updated IMD guidance and real-time station readings will provide the final resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 17 de maio?
41°C or below 59%
42°C 39%
43°C 3.8%
44°C 2.4%
$18,393 Vol.
$18,393 Vol.
17 mai 2026
41°C or below
59%
42°C
39%
43°C
4%
44°C
2%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 59%
42°C 39%
43°C 3.8%
44°C 2.4%
$18,393 Vol.
$18,393 Vol.
17 mai 2026
41°C or below
$2,110 Vol.
59%
42°C
$1,591 Vol.
39%
43°C
$1,326 Vol.
4%
44°C
$1,455 Vol.
2%
45°C
$2,002 Vol.
<1%
46°C
$2,068 Vol.
<1%
47°C
$1,416 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$3,718 Vol.
<1%
49°C
$798 Vol.
<1%
50°C
$861 Vol.
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,086 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a maximum temperature near 41°C for Lucknow on May 17, driven by typical pre-monsoon conditions with strong solar heating across the Indo-Gangetic Plain and limited moisture advection. Historical mid-May climatology for the region averages 40–42°C, placing the market’s 58.5% implied probability for 41°C or below in line with current model consensus and recent observational trends showing no extreme heatwave intensification. Variable westerly flow and possible localized dust effects introduce modest uncertainty for a brief spike to 42°C, reflected in its 34% odds, while higher thresholds remain low-probability outliers given the absence of exceptional synoptic support. Updated IMD guidance and real-time station readings will provide the final resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$18,393Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a maximum temperature near 41°C for Lucknow on May 17, driven by typical pre-monsoon conditions with strong solar heating across the Indo-Gangetic Plain and limited moisture advection. Historical mid-May climatology for the region averages 40–42°C, placing the market’s 58.5% implied probability for 41°C or below in line with current model consensus and recent observational trends showing no extreme heatwave intensification. Variable westerly flow and possible localized dust effects introduce modest uncertainty for a brief spike to 42°C, reflected in its 34% odds, while higher thresholds remain low-probability outliers given the absence of exceptional synoptic support. Updated IMD guidance and real-time station readings will provide the final resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,393Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKLatest forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a maximum temperature near 41°C for Lucknow on May 17, driven by typical pre-monsoon conditions with strong solar heating across the Indo-Gangetic Plain and limited moisture advection. Historical mid-May climatology for the region averages 40–42°C, placing the market’s 58.5% implied probability for 41°C or below in line with current model consensus and recent observational trends showing no extreme heatwave intensification. Variable westerly flow and possible localized dust effects introduce modest uncertainty for a brief spike to 42°C, reflected in its 34% odds, while higher thresholds remain low-probability outliers given the absence of exceptional synoptic support. Updated IMD guidance and real-time station readings will provide the final resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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