Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow project a maximum temperature near 40–42°C on May 19 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with strong solar heating, low humidity, and limited cloud cover supporting daytime warming. This aligns with the city’s climatological May average of 38–42°C and helps explain the dominant 72.5% market-implied probability for 42°C or below. Model consensus remains stable in the near term, though minor shifts in steering patterns or brief convective activity could alter the exact high. Traders are monitoring the next IMD update and regional satellite observations for any rapid changes ahead of the May 19 resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 19 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 19 de maio?
42°C or below 81%
43°C 11%
44°C 5%
45°C 1.0%
NOVO
NOVO
19 mai 2026
42°C or below
81%
43°C
11%
44°C
5%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
1%
48°C
1%
49°C
1%
50°C
<1%
51°C
1%
52°C or higher
<1%
42°C or below 81%
43°C 11%
44°C 5%
45°C 1.0%
NOVO
NOVO
19 mai 2026
42°C or below
$124 Vol.
81%
43°C
$74 Vol.
11%
44°C
$62 Vol.
5%
45°C
$261 Vol.
1%
46°C
$156 Vol.
1%
47°C
$149 Vol.
1%
48°C
$155 Vol.
1%
49°C
$132 Vol.
1%
50°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
51°C
$140 Vol.
1%
52°C or higher
$228 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow project a maximum temperature near 40–42°C on May 19 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with strong solar heating, low humidity, and limited cloud cover supporting daytime warming. This aligns with the city’s climatological May average of 38–42°C and helps explain the dominant 72.5% market-implied probability for 42°C or below. Model consensus remains stable in the near term, though minor shifts in steering patterns or brief convective activity could alter the exact high. Traders are monitoring the next IMD update and regional satellite observations for any rapid changes ahead of the May 19 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,567Data de Término
19 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow project a maximum temperature near 40–42°C on May 19 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with strong solar heating, low humidity, and limited cloud cover supporting daytime warming. This aligns with the city’s climatological May average of 38–42°C and helps explain the dominant 72.5% market-implied probability for 42°C or below. Model consensus remains stable in the near term, though minor shifts in steering patterns or brief convective activity could alter the exact high. Traders are monitoring the next IMD update and regional satellite observations for any rapid changes ahead of the May 19 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,567Data de Término
19 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKRecent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow project a maximum temperature near 40–42°C on May 19 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with strong solar heating, low humidity, and limited cloud cover supporting daytime warming. This aligns with the city’s climatological May average of 38–42°C and helps explain the dominant 72.5% market-implied probability for 42°C or below. Model consensus remains stable in the near term, though minor shifts in steering patterns or brief convective activity could alter the exact high. Traders are monitoring the next IMD update and regional satellite observations for any rapid changes ahead of the May 19 resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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