Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global numerical models indicate a daily maximum temperature of 28–29°C for Wuhan today, driven by light southerly flow beneath a subtropical ridge that favors daytime warming with partial cloud cover and limited convection. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs reach 26–28°C amid transitional spring conditions, and supports the market’s strong 64% implied probability for 28°C as the leading outcome. Traders are closely monitoring any late adjustments from updated model runs or real-time observations, which could shift odds if unexpected cloud buildup or clearer skies alter peak heating before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wuhan em 17 de maio?
28°C 65%
29°C 26%
30°C 10%
31°C 2.0%
$35,464 Vol.
$35,464 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
65%
29°C
26%
30°C
10%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 65%
29°C 26%
30°C 10%
31°C 2.0%
$35,464 Vol.
$35,464 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
65%
29°C
26%
30°C
10%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHRecent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global numerical models indicate a daily maximum temperature of 28–29°C for Wuhan today, driven by light southerly flow beneath a subtropical ridge that favors daytime warming with partial cloud cover and limited convection. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs reach 26–28°C amid transitional spring conditions, and supports the market’s strong 64% implied probability for 28°C as the leading outcome. Traders are closely monitoring any late adjustments from updated model runs or real-time observations, which could shift odds if unexpected cloud buildup or clearer skies alter peak heating before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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