Recent forecast models indicate a strong potential for elevated daytime heating in Tel Aviv on May 17, driven by springtime southerly airflow and clear skies that favor rapid temperature rises in the coastal plain. Historical May data show typical maxima near 28–30 °C, yet current ensemble guidance highlights a window for brief heat spikes above 34 °C when downslope winds interact with the urban heat island. This scientific context underpins the dominant market-implied probability for 35 °C or higher, with lower bins priced for more typical spring conditions if marine cooling or cloud cover develops. Updated runs from regional agencies will refine land-sea breeze timing and confirm whether peak readings breach seasonal thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 17 de maio?
35°C or higher 77%
34°C 16%
33°C 1.1%
32°C <1%
NOVO
$10,878 Vol.
NOVO
$10,878 Vol.
17 mai 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
16%
35°C or higher
77%
35°C or higher 77%
34°C 16%
33°C 1.1%
32°C <1%
NOVO
$10,878 Vol.
NOVO
$10,878 Vol.
17 mai 2026
25°C or below
$2,054 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$677 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,047 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,018 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$823 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$571 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$444 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,013 Vol.
1%
33°C
$937 Vol.
1%
34°C
$651 Vol.
16%
35°C or higher
$1,649 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models indicate a strong potential for elevated daytime heating in Tel Aviv on May 17, driven by springtime southerly airflow and clear skies that favor rapid temperature rises in the coastal plain. Historical May data show typical maxima near 28–30 °C, yet current ensemble guidance highlights a window for brief heat spikes above 34 °C when downslope winds interact with the urban heat island. This scientific context underpins the dominant market-implied probability for 35 °C or higher, with lower bins priced for more typical spring conditions if marine cooling or cloud cover develops. Updated runs from regional agencies will refine land-sea breeze timing and confirm whether peak readings breach seasonal thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$10,878Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models indicate a strong potential for elevated daytime heating in Tel Aviv on May 17, driven by springtime southerly airflow and clear skies that favor rapid temperature rises in the coastal plain. Historical May data show typical maxima near 28–30 °C, yet current ensemble guidance highlights a window for brief heat spikes above 34 °C when downslope winds interact with the urban heat island. This scientific context underpins the dominant market-implied probability for 35 °C or higher, with lower bins priced for more typical spring conditions if marine cooling or cloud cover develops. Updated runs from regional agencies will refine land-sea breeze timing and confirm whether peak readings breach seasonal thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,878Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecast models indicate a strong potential for elevated daytime heating in Tel Aviv on May 17, driven by springtime southerly airflow and clear skies that favor rapid temperature rises in the coastal plain. Historical May data show typical maxima near 28–30 °C, yet current ensemble guidance highlights a window for brief heat spikes above 34 °C when downslope winds interact with the urban heat island. This scientific context underpins the dominant market-implied probability for 35 °C or higher, with lower bins priced for more typical spring conditions if marine cooling or cloud cover develops. Updated runs from regional agencies will refine land-sea breeze timing and confirm whether peak readings breach seasonal thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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