Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18 near the seasonal average for late spring, driving the market’s strongest implied probability toward 29 °C. Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation and modest onshore flow are expected to cap daytime heating, while limited cloud cover and stable high pressure favor clear skies and efficient solar radiation. Model spread remains wide because small shifts in the position of a weak upper-level trough could either enhance or suppress maximum values by 1–2 °C. Historical May data show typical highs of 26–28 °C, so any departure above 30 °C would require stronger subsidence or reduced marine influence. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System are scheduled before resolution and will likely tighten the range of outcomes traders are pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 18 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 18 de maio?
29°C 24%
30°C 23%
28°C 16%
31°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
18 mai 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
16%
29°C
30%
30°C
23%
31°C
14%
32°C or higher
11%
29°C 24%
30°C 23%
28°C 16%
31°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
18 mai 2026
22°C or below
$503 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$304 Vol.
1%
24°C
$137 Vol.
2%
25°C
$13 Vol.
3%
26°C
$110 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
8%
28°C
$87 Vol.
16%
29°C
$56 Vol.
30%
30°C
$124 Vol.
23%
31°C
$0 Vol.
14%
32°C or higher
$188 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18 near the seasonal average for late spring, driving the market’s strongest implied probability toward 29 °C. Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation and modest onshore flow are expected to cap daytime heating, while limited cloud cover and stable high pressure favor clear skies and efficient solar radiation. Model spread remains wide because small shifts in the position of a weak upper-level trough could either enhance or suppress maximum values by 1–2 °C. Historical May data show typical highs of 26–28 °C, so any departure above 30 °C would require stronger subsidence or reduced marine influence. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System are scheduled before resolution and will likely tighten the range of outcomes traders are pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,521Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18 near the seasonal average for late spring, driving the market’s strongest implied probability toward 29 °C. Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation and modest onshore flow are expected to cap daytime heating, while limited cloud cover and stable high pressure favor clear skies and efficient solar radiation. Model spread remains wide because small shifts in the position of a weak upper-level trough could either enhance or suppress maximum values by 1–2 °C. Historical May data show typical highs of 26–28 °C, so any departure above 30 °C would require stronger subsidence or reduced marine influence. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System are scheduled before resolution and will likely tighten the range of outcomes traders are pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,521Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from global models place the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18 near the seasonal average for late spring, driving the market’s strongest implied probability toward 29 °C. Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation and modest onshore flow are expected to cap daytime heating, while limited cloud cover and stable high pressure favor clear skies and efficient solar radiation. Model spread remains wide because small shifts in the position of a weak upper-level trough could either enhance or suppress maximum values by 1–2 °C. Historical May data show typical highs of 26–28 °C, so any departure above 30 °C would require stronger subsidence or reduced marine influence. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System are scheduled before resolution and will likely tighten the range of outcomes traders are pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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