Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 1, 2026, indicate a high near 23–24°C amid widespread showers and thunderstorms driven by low-pressure channels and Pacific moisture influx, as noted by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 24°C (42%) and 23°C (25%), reflecting the rainy season's typical suppression of daytime maxima through persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and reduced solar insolation at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Historical September averages hover around 23–24°C, with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and Met Office reinforcing this range over higher outliers. Traders appear to discount 25°C+ probabilities given the 75–95% precipitation chances expected to moderate peak heating, while cooler outcomes below 22°C remain less likely absent unusual cooling. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from steering patterns or intensification of convection.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 1º de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 1º de setembro?
24°C 43%
23°C 25%
25°C 22%
21°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
1 set 2026
16°C ou menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
13%
23°C
25%
24°C
43%
25°C
22%
26°C ou mais
7%
24°C 43%
23°C 25%
25°C 22%
21°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
1 set 2026
16°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
16%
22°C
$13 Vol.
13%
23°C
$7 Vol.
25%
24°C
$88 Vol.
43%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 1, 2026, indicate a high near 23–24°C amid widespread showers and thunderstorms driven by low-pressure channels and Pacific moisture influx, as noted by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 24°C (42%) and 23°C (25%), reflecting the rainy season's typical suppression of daytime maxima through persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and reduced solar insolation at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Historical September averages hover around 23–24°C, with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and Met Office reinforcing this range over higher outliers. Traders appear to discount 25°C+ probabilities given the 75–95% precipitation chances expected to moderate peak heating, while cooler outcomes below 22°C remain less likely absent unusual cooling. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from steering patterns or intensification of convection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$75Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 1, 2026, indicate a high near 23–24°C amid widespread showers and thunderstorms driven by low-pressure channels and Pacific moisture influx, as noted by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 24°C (42%) and 23°C (25%), reflecting the rainy season's typical suppression of daytime maxima through persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and reduced solar insolation at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Historical September averages hover around 23–24°C, with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and Met Office reinforcing this range over higher outliers. Traders appear to discount 25°C+ probabilities given the 75–95% precipitation chances expected to moderate peak heating, while cooler outcomes below 22°C remain less likely absent unusual cooling. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from steering patterns or intensification of convection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$75Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 1, 2026, indicate a high near 23–24°C amid widespread showers and thunderstorms driven by low-pressure channels and Pacific moisture influx, as noted by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 24°C (42%) and 23°C (25%), reflecting the rainy season's typical suppression of daytime maxima through persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and reduced solar insolation at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Historical September averages hover around 23–24°C, with model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and Met Office reinforcing this range over higher outliers. Traders appear to discount 25°C+ probabilities given the 75–95% precipitation chances expected to moderate peak heating, while cooler outcomes below 22°C remain less likely absent unusual cooling. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from steering patterns or intensification of convection.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions