Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 1 indicate partly cloudy skies with a high near 65°F under moderate southwest onshore flow, keeping the marine layer in place and limiting daytime heating. This coastal regime, typical for early September, produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–71°F as traders weigh potential for brief afternoon clearing versus persistent stratus. Key differentiators among the leading bins include exact wind direction and timing of any marine-layer erosion, which can shift peak temperatures by 2–4°F. Historical analogs show September 1 averages near 70°F, but current model consensus favors the cooler side absent strong offshore flow. Final NWS observations will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 1º de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 1º de setembro?
68-69°F 27%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 24%
62-63°F 16%
NOVO
NOVO
1 set 2026
59°F ou menos
2%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
16%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
4%
78°F ou mais
1%
68-69°F 27%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 24%
62-63°F 16%
NOVO
NOVO
1 set 2026
59°F ou menos
$6 Vol.
2%
60-61°F
$1 Vol.
6%
62-63°F
$1 Vol.
16%
64-65°F
$32 Vol.
11%
66-67°F
$131 Vol.
25%
68-69°F
$19 Vol.
27%
70-71°F
$1 Vol.
24%
72-73°F
$7 Vol.
11%
74-75°F
$258 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$6 Vol.
4%
78°F ou mais
$1 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 1 indicate partly cloudy skies with a high near 65°F under moderate southwest onshore flow, keeping the marine layer in place and limiting daytime heating. This coastal regime, typical for early September, produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–71°F as traders weigh potential for brief afternoon clearing versus persistent stratus. Key differentiators among the leading bins include exact wind direction and timing of any marine-layer erosion, which can shift peak temperatures by 2–4°F. Historical analogs show September 1 averages near 70°F, but current model consensus favors the cooler side absent strong offshore flow. Final NWS observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$465Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 1 indicate partly cloudy skies with a high near 65°F under moderate southwest onshore flow, keeping the marine layer in place and limiting daytime heating. This coastal regime, typical for early September, produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–71°F as traders weigh potential for brief afternoon clearing versus persistent stratus. Key differentiators among the leading bins include exact wind direction and timing of any marine-layer erosion, which can shift peak temperatures by 2–4°F. Historical analogs show September 1 averages near 70°F, but current model consensus favors the cooler side absent strong offshore flow. Final NWS observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$465Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 1 indicate partly cloudy skies with a high near 65°F under moderate southwest onshore flow, keeping the marine layer in place and limiting daytime heating. This coastal regime, typical for early September, produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 66–71°F as traders weigh potential for brief afternoon clearing versus persistent stratus. Key differentiators among the leading bins include exact wind direction and timing of any marine-layer erosion, which can shift peak temperatures by 2–4°F. Historical analogs show September 1 averages near 70°F, but current model consensus favors the cooler side absent strong offshore flow. Final NWS observations will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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