Current forecasts for San Francisco indicate a deepening marine layer and short-wave trough influence through early September, promoting stronger onshore flow and reduced radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors lows near or slightly below the historical 56°F average for September 1, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to upper-50s readings amid 2,000-foot stratus and a cooler 850 mb airmass. Trader consensus remains split across bins because model spreads on marine layer depth and any late clearing could push the minimum into the low 50s or briefly higher, while the 49°F-or-below and 68°F-or-higher outcomes reflect tail risks from unusually strong onshore winds versus suppressed stratus. Updated model runs and NHC-adjacent marine forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em São Francisco no dia 1 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em São Francisco no dia 1 de setembro?
68°F ou mais 59%
52-53°F 49%
54-55°F 49%
64-65°F 49%
NOVO
NOVO
1 set 2026
49°F ou menos
30%
50-51°F
11%
52-53°F
49%
54-55°F
49%
56-57°F
25%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
21%
68°F ou mais
59%
68°F ou mais 59%
52-53°F 49%
54-55°F 49%
64-65°F 49%
NOVO
NOVO
1 set 2026
49°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
30%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
11%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
49%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
49%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
25%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
26%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
26%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
25%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
49%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
21%
68°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for San Francisco indicate a deepening marine layer and short-wave trough influence through early September, promoting stronger onshore flow and reduced radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors lows near or slightly below the historical 56°F average for September 1, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to upper-50s readings amid 2,000-foot stratus and a cooler 850 mb airmass. Trader consensus remains split across bins because model spreads on marine layer depth and any late clearing could push the minimum into the low 50s or briefly higher, while the 49°F-or-below and 68°F-or-higher outcomes reflect tail risks from unusually strong onshore winds versus suppressed stratus. Updated model runs and NHC-adjacent marine forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for San Francisco indicate a deepening marine layer and short-wave trough influence through early September, promoting stronger onshore flow and reduced radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors lows near or slightly below the historical 56°F average for September 1, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to upper-50s readings amid 2,000-foot stratus and a cooler 850 mb airmass. Trader consensus remains split across bins because model spreads on marine layer depth and any late clearing could push the minimum into the low 50s or briefly higher, while the 49°F-or-below and 68°F-or-higher outcomes reflect tail risks from unusually strong onshore winds versus suppressed stratus. Updated model runs and NHC-adjacent marine forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for San Francisco indicate a deepening marine layer and short-wave trough influence through early September, promoting stronger onshore flow and reduced radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors lows near or slightly below the historical 56°F average for September 1, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to upper-50s readings amid 2,000-foot stratus and a cooler 850 mb airmass. Trader consensus remains split across bins because model spreads on marine layer depth and any late clearing could push the minimum into the low 50s or briefly higher, while the 49°F-or-below and 68°F-or-higher outcomes reflect tail risks from unusually strong onshore winds versus suppressed stratus. Updated model runs and NHC-adjacent marine forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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