Current National Weather Service forecasts project a Miami high of 92°F on August 15 under partly sunny skies with limited afternoon convection, aligning with the market's 97.5% implied probability for the 92-93°F bin. This outcome fits mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 89–91°F amid high humidity, sea-breeze moderation, and typical subtropical moisture that curbs extreme heating. Recent seasonal warmth, including July 2026 ranking among Miami's hottest on record, reinforces trader consensus around near-normal values rather than records. Stronger thunderstorms or increased cloud cover remain the main variables that could suppress the peak into the low 90s.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Miami no dia 15 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Miami no dia 15 de agosto?
92-93°F 98%
94-95°F 2%
96-97°F <1%
98°F ou mais <1%
$47,120 Vol.
$47,120 Vol.
15 ago 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
98%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F ou mais
<1%
92-93°F 98%
94-95°F 2%
96-97°F <1%
98°F ou mais <1%
$47,120 Vol.
$47,120 Vol.
15 ago 2026
79°F or below
$132 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$259 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$232 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$2,023 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,709 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$4,064 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$7,988 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$16,083 Vol.
98%
94-95°F
$7,928 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$2,713 Vol.
<1%
98°F ou mais
$3,989 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts project a Miami high of 92°F on August 15 under partly sunny skies with limited afternoon convection, aligning with the market's 97.5% implied probability for the 92-93°F bin. This outcome fits mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 89–91°F amid high humidity, sea-breeze moderation, and typical subtropical moisture that curbs extreme heating. Recent seasonal warmth, including July 2026 ranking among Miami's hottest on record, reinforces trader consensus around near-normal values rather than records. Stronger thunderstorms or increased cloud cover remain the main variables that could suppress the peak into the low 90s.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$47,120Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts project a Miami high of 92°F on August 15 under partly sunny skies with limited afternoon convection, aligning with the market's 97.5% implied probability for the 92-93°F bin. This outcome fits mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 89–91°F amid high humidity, sea-breeze moderation, and typical subtropical moisture that curbs extreme heating. Recent seasonal warmth, including July 2026 ranking among Miami's hottest on record, reinforces trader consensus around near-normal values rather than records. Stronger thunderstorms or increased cloud cover remain the main variables that could suppress the peak into the low 90s.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$47,120Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts project a Miami high of 92°F on August 15 under partly sunny skies with limited afternoon convection, aligning with the market's 97.5% implied probability for the 92-93°F bin. This outcome fits mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 89–91°F amid high humidity, sea-breeze moderation, and typical subtropical moisture that curbs extreme heating. Recent seasonal warmth, including July 2026 ranking among Miami's hottest on record, reinforces trader consensus around near-normal values rather than records. Stronger thunderstorms or increased cloud cover remain the main variables that could suppress the peak into the low 90s.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions