Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Shanghai's May 14 highest temperature, with 25°C (30.5%) narrowly leading 24°C (23%) and nearby outcomes amid overcast skies forecasted by the Hong Kong Observatory (19–31°C range) and timeanddate.com (27°C high). Recent ensemble runs from GFS and ECMWF models project 27–29°C under building high pressure, but persistent cloud cover and early showers—per AccuWeather's cloudy, humid outlook (80°F/27°C peak)—are expected to limit insolation and cap diurnal heating, favoring the 23–26°C cluster. High humidity further compresses the range, differentiating outcomes; watch China Meteorological Administration updates and Pudong Airport observations for resolution as conditions evolve rapidly.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 14?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 14?
25°C 34%
24°C 24%
23°C 18.5%
26°C 16%
$48,080 Vol.
$48,080 Vol.
22°C or below
5%
23°C
19%
24°C
24%
25°C
34%
26°C
16%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 34%
24°C 24%
23°C 18.5%
26°C 16%
$48,080 Vol.
$48,080 Vol.
22°C or below
5%
23°C
19%
24°C
24%
25°C
34%
26°C
16%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Shanghai's May 14 highest temperature, with 25°C (30.5%) narrowly leading 24°C (23%) and nearby outcomes amid overcast skies forecasted by the Hong Kong Observatory (19–31°C range) and timeanddate.com (27°C high). Recent ensemble runs from GFS and ECMWF models project 27–29°C under building high pressure, but persistent cloud cover and early showers—per AccuWeather's cloudy, humid outlook (80°F/27°C peak)—are expected to limit insolation and cap diurnal heating, favoring the 23–26°C cluster. High humidity further compresses the range, differentiating outcomes; watch China Meteorological Administration updates and Pudong Airport observations for resolution as conditions evolve rapidly.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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