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icon for Howard Lutnick como Secretário de Comércio até 31 de outubro?

Howard Lutnick como Secretário de Comércio até 31 de outubro?

icon for Howard Lutnick como Secretário de Comércio até 31 de outubro?

Howard Lutnick como Secretário de Comércio até 31 de outubro?

Sim

7% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

7% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Howard Lutnick remains actively engaged as Secretary of Commerce in the Trump administration, with no recent developments indicating an imminent departure.** Confirmed by the Senate in February 2025, he continues to lead tariff and trade initiatives, including negotiations with Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Mexico on investment commitments, semiconductor manufacturing, and energy projects. Recent reporting from September 2026 shows him defending agency budget proposals, addressing trade talks with Canada, and participating in public events tied to administration priorities. Past controversies, such as earlier Epstein-related scrutiny, have not produced new actions leading to removal. With the president’s ongoing support and Lutnick’s central role in executing the second-term economic agenda, traders assess the likelihood of his exit by October 31 as low.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$247
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 9:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Howard Lutnick remains actively engaged as Secretary of Commerce in the Trump administration, with no recent developments indicating an imminent departure.** Confirmed by the Senate in February 2025, he continues to lead tariff and trade initiatives, including negotiations with Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Mexico on investment commitments, semiconductor manufacturing, and energy projects. Recent reporting from September 2026 shows him defending agency budget proposals, addressing trade talks with Canada, and participating in public events tied to administration priorities. Past controversies, such as earlier Epstein-related scrutiny, have not produced new actions leading to removal. With the president’s ongoing support and Lutnick’s central role in executing the second-term economic agenda, traders assess the likelihood of his exit by October 31 as low.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$247
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 9:28 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Howard Lutnick como Secretário de Comércio até 31 de outubro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Howard Lutnick deixará o cargo de Secretário de Comércio até 31 de outubro?" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Howard Lutnick como Secretário de Comércio até 31 de outubro?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Howard Lutnick como Secretário de Comércio até 31 de outubro?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Howard Lutnick como Secretário de Comércio até 31 de outubro?" is "Howard Lutnick deixará o cargo de Secretário de Comércio até 31 de outubro?" at just 7%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Howard Lutnick como Secretário de Comércio até 31 de outubro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.