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icon for As forças israelitas entram em Tiro por...?

As forças israelitas entram em Tiro por...?

icon for As forças israelitas entram em Tiro por...?

As forças israelitas entram em Tiro por...?

$100,369 Vol.

31 ago 2026
Polymarket

$100,369 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31

$19,574 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon since mid-March 2026 have focused on establishing a buffer zone south of the Litani River and degrading Hezbollah infrastructure, with IDF units advancing several kilometers into Lebanese territory and controlling roughly 20 percent of the country. Tyre, a key coastal city and Hezbollah operational hub, has faced repeated Israeli airstrikes and large-scale evacuation orders (including in May and June 2026), yet reports through mid-August indicate no confirmed entry by Israeli ground forces into the city itself. Ongoing U.S.-facilitated talks in Rome and Washington have explored Lebanese Army deployment as a potential alternative to deeper IDF advances, while recent border incidents and drone exchanges continue to test de-escalation efforts. Trader positioning reflects this balance between Israel's stated security objectives and diplomatic constraints on urban operations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$100,369
Data de Término
31 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon since mid-March 2026 have focused on establishing a buffer zone south of the Litani River and degrading Hezbollah infrastructure, with IDF units advancing several kilometers into Lebanese territory and controlling roughly 20 percent of the country. Tyre, a key coastal city and Hezbollah operational hub, has faced repeated Israeli airstrikes and large-scale evacuation orders (including in May and June 2026), yet reports through mid-August indicate no confirmed entry by Israeli ground forces into the city itself. Ongoing U.S.-facilitated talks in Rome and Washington have explored Lebanese Army deployment as a potential alternative to deeper IDF advances, while recent border incidents and drone exchanges continue to test de-escalation efforts. Trader positioning reflects this balance between Israel's stated security objectives and diplomatic constraints on urban operations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$100,369
Data de Término
31 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"As forças israelitas entram em Tiro por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "August 31" at 4%, followed by "31 de maio" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "As forças israelitas entram em Tiro por...?" has generated $100.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "As forças israelitas entram em Tiro por...?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "As forças israelitas entram em Tiro por...?" is "August 31" at just 4%, with "31 de maio" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "As forças israelitas entram em Tiro por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.