Israeli forces crossed the Litani River in May 2026 during expanded operations in southern Lebanon, seizing positions including Beaufort Castle and advancing toward the Zahrani River despite prior truce understandings. Subsequent U.S.-mediated talks produced a renewed ceasefire framework requiring phased Israeli withdrawals coordinated with Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in designated pilot zones and Hezbollah repositioning north of the Litani. In July 2026, initial pullbacks began in select villages such as Zawtar al-Gharbiya, with the Lebanese army conducting patrols in areas like Froun and Srifa to test compliance. Full resolution depends on sustained Lebanese army control, absence of renewed clashes, and completion of additional phases before any market deadline, amid ongoing diplomatic pressure and monitoring by UNIFIL.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAs forças israelenses se retiram além do rio Litani por...?
As forças israelenses se retiram além do rio Litani por...?
$1,114,834 Vol.
31 dez 2026
August 31
3%
December 31
15%
$1,114,834 Vol.
August 31
$97,257 Vol.
3%
December 31
$282,977 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces crossed the Litani River in May 2026 during expanded operations in southern Lebanon, seizing positions including Beaufort Castle and advancing toward the Zahrani River despite prior truce understandings. Subsequent U.S.-mediated talks produced a renewed ceasefire framework requiring phased Israeli withdrawals coordinated with Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in designated pilot zones and Hezbollah repositioning north of the Litani. In July 2026, initial pullbacks began in select villages such as Zawtar al-Gharbiya, with the Lebanese army conducting patrols in areas like Froun and Srifa to test compliance. Full resolution depends on sustained Lebanese army control, absence of renewed clashes, and completion of additional phases before any market deadline, amid ongoing diplomatic pressure and monitoring by UNIFIL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET
Volume
$1,114,834Mercado Aberto
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces crossed the Litani River in May 2026 during expanded operations in southern Lebanon, seizing positions including Beaufort Castle and advancing toward the Zahrani River despite prior truce understandings. Subsequent U.S.-mediated talks produced a renewed ceasefire framework requiring phased Israeli withdrawals coordinated with Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in designated pilot zones and Hezbollah repositioning north of the Litani. In July 2026, initial pullbacks began in select villages such as Zawtar al-Gharbiya, with the Lebanese army conducting patrols in areas like Froun and Srifa to test compliance. Full resolution depends on sustained Lebanese army control, absence of renewed clashes, and completion of additional phases before any market deadline, amid ongoing diplomatic pressure and monitoring by UNIFIL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volume
$1,114,834Mercado Aberto
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces crossed the Litani River in May 2026 during expanded operations in southern Lebanon, seizing positions including Beaufort Castle and advancing toward the Zahrani River despite prior truce understandings. Subsequent U.S.-mediated talks produced a renewed ceasefire framework requiring phased Israeli withdrawals coordinated with Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in designated pilot zones and Hezbollah repositioning north of the Litani. In July 2026, initial pullbacks began in select villages such as Zawtar al-Gharbiya, with the Lebanese army conducting patrols in areas like Froun and Srifa to test compliance. Full resolution depends on sustained Lebanese army control, absence of renewed clashes, and completion of additional phases before any market deadline, amid ongoing diplomatic pressure and monitoring by UNIFIL.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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