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icon for James Comey in jail by June 30?
Política·Trump

James Comey in jail by June 30?

icon for James Comey in jail by June 30?
Política·Trump

James Comey in jail by June 30?

4% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
4% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Former FBI Director James Comey faces two ongoing federal indictments—one from September 2025 in the Eastern District of Virginia for alleged false statements and obstruction of Congress, and a second from April 28, 2026, in the Eastern District of North Carolina for purported threats against President Trump via an Instagram seashell photo interpreted as "86 47"—yet traders price a 93% chance he avoids jail by June 30 due to his release on own recognizance after self-surrender and no pre-trial detention ordered. Recent judicial scheduling of a June 30 arraignment and July 15 trial in the NC case, alongside doubts from judges on prosecutorial justifications, DOJ prosecutor departures, and expert views of weak evidence, reinforce skepticism of swift incarceration. Absent conviction or new developments like flight risk findings, procedural timelines make pre-July jail time improbable.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,382
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Former FBI Director James Comey faces two ongoing federal indictments—one from September 2025 in the Eastern District of Virginia for alleged false statements and obstruction of Congress, and a second from April 28, 2026, in the Eastern District of North Carolina for purported threats against President Trump via an Instagram seashell photo interpreted as "86 47"—yet traders price a 93% chance he avoids jail by June 30 due to his release on own recognizance after self-surrender and no pre-trial detention ordered. Recent judicial scheduling of a June 30 arraignment and July 15 trial in the NC case, alongside doubts from judges on prosecutorial justifications, DOJ prosecutor departures, and expert views of weak evidence, reinforce skepticism of swift incarceration. Absent conviction or new developments like flight risk findings, procedural timelines make pre-July jail time improbable.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,382
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"James Comey in jail by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 4% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 4¢, the market collectively assigns a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"James Comey in jail by June 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "James Comey in jail by June 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "James Comey in jail by June 30?" is 4% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "James Comey in jail by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.