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icon for Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

<5 96%

5-9 2.3%

10-14 1.4%

20-24 <1%

Polymarket

$12,505 Vol.

<5 96%

5-9 2.3%

10-14 1.4%

20-24 <1%

Polymarket

$12,505 Vol.

<5

$2,473 Vol.

96%

5-9

$2,064 Vol.

2%

10-14

$1,335 Vol.

1%

15-19

$1,503 Vol.

1%

20-24

$946 Vol.

1%

25-29

$405 Vol.

<1%

30-34

$458 Vol.

1%

35-39

$462 Vol.

1%

40-44

$596 Vol.

<1%

45-49

$484 Vol.

<1%

50-54

$503 Vol.

<1%

55-59

$609 Vol.

<1%

60+

$666 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran’s official leadership account on X has exhibited minimal posting activity throughout the May 12–19 window, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on fewer than five posts. This pattern reflects the absence of acute regional escalations, major diplomatic announcements, or domestic policy shifts that typically prompt more frequent statements from the account. With ongoing but contained tensions in the Middle East and no immediate high-profile events requiring rapid official responses, operators have maintained a restrained cadence. Traders appear to view this low-volume stretch as consistent with recent precedent during periods of relative stability. A sudden security incident, breakthrough in nuclear talks, or high-level international development could still increase output before the period closes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$12,505
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran’s official leadership account on X has exhibited minimal posting activity throughout the May 12–19 window, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on fewer than five posts. This pattern reflects the absence of acute regional escalations, major diplomatic announcements, or domestic policy shifts that typically prompt more frequent statements from the account. With ongoing but contained tensions in the Middle East and no immediate high-profile events requiring rapid official responses, operators have maintained a restrained cadence. Traders appear to view this low-volume stretch as consistent with recent precedent during periods of relative stability. A sudden security incident, breakthrough in nuclear talks, or high-level international development could still increase output before the period closes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$12,505
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<5" at 96%, followed by "5-9" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?" has generated $12.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?" is "<5" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5-9" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.