The current trader consensus heavily favoring fewer than five posts by the @khamenei_ir account reflects its established pattern of limited activity since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in early 2026. The account continues to republish archival statements on foreign policy and regional issues at a steady but low weekly volume, typically in the single digits during periods without acute crises. In the absence of major diplomatic announcements, military escalations, or new policy directives from Iran's leadership in mid-May, posting has remained subdued through the resolution window. The new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, channels communications primarily through state media and other outlets, further reducing reliance on the legacy platform for timely content. This setup aligns with observed rhythms in prior quiet intervals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKhamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
<5 85%
5-9 2.3%
10-14 1.5%
15-19 1.0%
$11,902 Vol.
$11,902 Vol.
19 mai 2026
<5
85%
5-9
2%
10-14
1%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 85%
5-9 2.3%
10-14 1.5%
15-19 1.0%
$11,902 Vol.
$11,902 Vol.
19 mai 2026
<5
$2,302 Vol.
85%
5-9
$2,024 Vol.
2%
10-14
$981 Vol.
1%
15-19
$1,493 Vol.
1%
20-24
$946 Vol.
1%
25-29
$401 Vol.
<1%
30-34
$458 Vol.
1%
35-39
$443 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$596 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$484 Vol.
1%
50-54
$498 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$609 Vol.
<1%
60+
$666 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The current trader consensus heavily favoring fewer than five posts by the @khamenei_ir account reflects its established pattern of limited activity since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in early 2026. The account continues to republish archival statements on foreign policy and regional issues at a steady but low weekly volume, typically in the single digits during periods without acute crises. In the absence of major diplomatic announcements, military escalations, or new policy directives from Iran's leadership in mid-May, posting has remained subdued through the resolution window. The new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, channels communications primarily through state media and other outlets, further reducing reliance on the legacy platform for timely content. This setup aligns with observed rhythms in prior quiet intervals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET
Volume
$11,902Data de Término
19 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The current trader consensus heavily favoring fewer than five posts by the @khamenei_ir account reflects its established pattern of limited activity since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in early 2026. The account continues to republish archival statements on foreign policy and regional issues at a steady but low weekly volume, typically in the single digits during periods without acute crises. In the absence of major diplomatic announcements, military escalations, or new policy directives from Iran's leadership in mid-May, posting has remained subdued through the resolution window. The new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, channels communications primarily through state media and other outlets, further reducing reliance on the legacy platform for timely content. This setup aligns with observed rhythms in prior quiet intervals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$11,902Data de Término
19 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The current trader consensus heavily favoring fewer than five posts by the @khamenei_ir account reflects its established pattern of limited activity since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in early 2026. The account continues to republish archival statements on foreign policy and regional issues at a steady but low weekly volume, typically in the single digits during periods without acute crises. In the absence of major diplomatic announcements, military escalations, or new policy directives from Iran's leadership in mid-May, posting has remained subdued through the resolution window. The new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, channels communications primarily through state media and other outlets, further reducing reliance on the legacy platform for timely content. This setup aligns with observed rhythms in prior quiet intervals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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