Iran's Supreme Leader maintains a deliberate pace of official communications, with historical patterns showing limited social media activity during routine periods absent major escalations or summits. As of mid-May 2026, no acute diplomatic developments, nuclear negotiations, or regional crises have emerged to prompt increased output, supporting trader expectations for minimal posts in the current week. This aligns with baseline rates seen in comparable non-event intervals, where weekly totals frequently remain under five. Potential catalysts like upcoming multilateral talks or policy announcements could alter volumes, though current conditions reinforce the consensus around low activity levels.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKhamenei # posts 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?
Khamenei # posts 15 de maio - 22 de maio de 2026?
<5 73%
15-19 19.9%
5-9 8%
55-59 7.6%
NOVO
NOVO
22 mai 2026
<5
73%
5-9
18%
10-14
23%
15-19
20%
20-24
13%
25-29
10%
30-34
12%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
8%
60+
<1%
<5 73%
15-19 19.9%
5-9 8%
55-59 7.6%
NOVO
NOVO
22 mai 2026
<5
$297 Vol.
73%
5-9
$81 Vol.
18%
10-14
$90 Vol.
23%
15-19
$63 Vol.
20%
20-24
$62 Vol.
13%
25-29
$62 Vol.
10%
30-34
$120 Vol.
12%
35-39
$88 Vol.
1%
40-44
$190 Vol.
1%
45-49
$120 Vol.
1%
50-54
$197 Vol.
1%
55-59
$182 Vol.
8%
60+
$338 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran's Supreme Leader maintains a deliberate pace of official communications, with historical patterns showing limited social media activity during routine periods absent major escalations or summits. As of mid-May 2026, no acute diplomatic developments, nuclear negotiations, or regional crises have emerged to prompt increased output, supporting trader expectations for minimal posts in the current week. This aligns with baseline rates seen in comparable non-event intervals, where weekly totals frequently remain under five. Potential catalysts like upcoming multilateral talks or policy announcements could alter volumes, though current conditions reinforce the consensus around low activity levels.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$1,888Data de Término
22 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran's Supreme Leader maintains a deliberate pace of official communications, with historical patterns showing limited social media activity during routine periods absent major escalations or summits. As of mid-May 2026, no acute diplomatic developments, nuclear negotiations, or regional crises have emerged to prompt increased output, supporting trader expectations for minimal posts in the current week. This aligns with baseline rates seen in comparable non-event intervals, where weekly totals frequently remain under five. Potential catalysts like upcoming multilateral talks or policy announcements could alter volumes, though current conditions reinforce the consensus around low activity levels.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,888Data de Término
22 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iran's Supreme Leader maintains a deliberate pace of official communications, with historical patterns showing limited social media activity during routine periods absent major escalations or summits. As of mid-May 2026, no acute diplomatic developments, nuclear negotiations, or regional crises have emerged to prompt increased output, supporting trader expectations for minimal posts in the current week. This aligns with baseline rates seen in comparable non-event intervals, where weekly totals frequently remain under five. Potential catalysts like upcoming multilateral talks or policy announcements could alter volumes, though current conditions reinforce the consensus around low activity levels.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions