Republican Ralph Alvarado holds a clear edge over Democrat Zach Dembo in the open Kentucky 6th district race following incumbent Andy Barr’s decision to run for Senate. The central Kentucky seat, anchored by Lexington, has favored Republicans in recent cycles, with Barr winning by wide margins in 2024. Recent polling, including a June survey showing Alvarado ahead by three points and an earlier tie, indicates a tighter contest than historical results but still positions the Republican nominee as the frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Trader pricing aligns with the district’s partisan lean and forecasters’ “Likely Republican” assessments, while noting potential shifts from turnout or late developments in the competitive environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa KY-06
Vencedor da eleição da casa KY-06
$33,635 Vol.
$33,635 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
75%
Partido Democrata
27%
$33,635 Vol.
$33,635 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$14,395 Vol.
75%
Partido Democrata
$19,240 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Ralph Alvarado holds a clear edge over Democrat Zach Dembo in the open Kentucky 6th district race following incumbent Andy Barr’s decision to run for Senate. The central Kentucky seat, anchored by Lexington, has favored Republicans in recent cycles, with Barr winning by wide margins in 2024. Recent polling, including a June survey showing Alvarado ahead by three points and an earlier tie, indicates a tighter contest than historical results but still positions the Republican nominee as the frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Trader pricing aligns with the district’s partisan lean and forecasters’ “Likely Republican” assessments, while noting potential shifts from turnout or late developments in the competitive environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$33,635Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Ralph Alvarado holds a clear edge over Democrat Zach Dembo in the open Kentucky 6th district race following incumbent Andy Barr’s decision to run for Senate. The central Kentucky seat, anchored by Lexington, has favored Republicans in recent cycles, with Barr winning by wide margins in 2024. Recent polling, including a June survey showing Alvarado ahead by three points and an earlier tie, indicates a tighter contest than historical results but still positions the Republican nominee as the frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Trader pricing aligns with the district’s partisan lean and forecasters’ “Likely Republican” assessments, while noting potential shifts from turnout or late developments in the competitive environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,635Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Ralph Alvarado holds a clear edge over Democrat Zach Dembo in the open Kentucky 6th district race following incumbent Andy Barr’s decision to run for Senate. The central Kentucky seat, anchored by Lexington, has favored Republicans in recent cycles, with Barr winning by wide margins in 2024. Recent polling, including a June survey showing Alvarado ahead by three points and an earlier tie, indicates a tighter contest than historical results but still positions the Republican nominee as the frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Trader pricing aligns with the district’s partisan lean and forecasters’ “Likely Republican” assessments, while noting potential shifts from turnout or late developments in the competitive environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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