Kentucky's 6th congressional district, an open seat after incumbent Republican Andy Barr launched a U.S. Senate campaign, leans strongly Republican with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7. The Republican primary on May 19 features multiple candidates, including Ralph Alvarado as the early frontrunner, while Democrats field several contenders such as Zach Dembo and Cherlynn Stevenson in their own primary the same day. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as solid or likely Republican. The district's consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including double-digit margins in presidential voting, shapes trader consensus around the Republican nominee's strong position heading into November. National Democratic targeting of the seat has drawn some attention, yet the underlying partisan baseline limits shifts in implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa KY-06
Vencedor da eleição da casa KY-06
$22,663 Vol.
$22,663 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
73%
Partido Democrata
24%
$22,663 Vol.
$22,663 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$9,002 Vol.
73%
Partido Democrata
$13,661 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district, an open seat after incumbent Republican Andy Barr launched a U.S. Senate campaign, leans strongly Republican with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7. The Republican primary on May 19 features multiple candidates, including Ralph Alvarado as the early frontrunner, while Democrats field several contenders such as Zach Dembo and Cherlynn Stevenson in their own primary the same day. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as solid or likely Republican. The district's consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including double-digit margins in presidential voting, shapes trader consensus around the Republican nominee's strong position heading into November. National Democratic targeting of the seat has drawn some attention, yet the underlying partisan baseline limits shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$22,663Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district, an open seat after incumbent Republican Andy Barr launched a U.S. Senate campaign, leans strongly Republican with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7. The Republican primary on May 19 features multiple candidates, including Ralph Alvarado as the early frontrunner, while Democrats field several contenders such as Zach Dembo and Cherlynn Stevenson in their own primary the same day. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as solid or likely Republican. The district's consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including double-digit margins in presidential voting, shapes trader consensus around the Republican nominee's strong position heading into November. National Democratic targeting of the seat has drawn some attention, yet the underlying partisan baseline limits shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,663Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 6th congressional district, an open seat after incumbent Republican Andy Barr launched a U.S. Senate campaign, leans strongly Republican with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7. The Republican primary on May 19 features multiple candidates, including Ralph Alvarado as the early frontrunner, while Democrats field several contenders such as Zach Dembo and Cherlynn Stevenson in their own primary the same day. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as solid or likely Republican. The district's consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including double-digit margins in presidential voting, shapes trader consensus around the Republican nominee's strong position heading into November. National Democratic targeting of the seat has drawn some attention, yet the underlying partisan baseline limits shifts in implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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