**Clear, calm conditions overnight under high pressure have driven strong radiative cooling across Ankara, aligning official forecasts and observational data around a precise 10°C minimum for September 9.** Multiple meteorological sources, including regional models and station guidance, converge on this threshold as the expected low, reflecting typical early-September climatology with dew points near 0–5°C and light northerly flow limiting mixing. The overwhelming 99.4% market-implied probability captures this consensus backed by real capital. A shift in cloud cover or an unexpected increase in wind speed could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while deeper cooling from clearer skies or drier air remains the main pathway to a lower reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Ancara em 9 de setembro?
10°C 99.4%
7°C ou inferior <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
7°C ou inferior
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
99%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C ou mais
<1%
10°C 99.4%
7°C ou inferior <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
7°C ou inferior
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
99%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear, calm conditions overnight under high pressure have driven strong radiative cooling across Ankara, aligning official forecasts and observational data around a precise 10°C minimum for September 9.** Multiple meteorological sources, including regional models and station guidance, converge on this threshold as the expected low, reflecting typical early-September climatology with dew points near 0–5°C and light northerly flow limiting mixing. The overwhelming 99.4% market-implied probability captures this consensus backed by real capital. A shift in cloud cover or an unexpected increase in wind speed could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while deeper cooling from clearer skies or drier air remains the main pathway to a lower reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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