Persistent rain and cloud cover associated with the expected onset of the Huaxi Autumn Rain period around September 15 are the dominant drivers, suppressing daytime heating and promoting radiative cooling overnight under high humidity and light northerly flow. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight minima of 19–21 °C, consistent with September climatological lows near 21–22 °C but tempered by the atypical early-season moisture surge. Current surface observations and short-range guidance show temperatures already hovering near 20 °C with widespread precipitation, limiting upside potential and concentrating market-implied odds on 19–20 °C while assigning modest probability to slightly cooler readings if heavier rain enhances evaporative cooling.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chongqing em 15 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Chongqing em 15 de setembro?
17°C 91%
20°C 48%
18°C 35%
16°C ou menos 10%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
16°C ou menos
10%
17°C
91%
18°C
35%
19°C
37%
20°C
48%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C ou mais
<1%
17°C 91%
20°C 48%
18°C 35%
16°C ou menos 10%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
16°C ou menos
$66 Vol.
10%
17°C
$142 Vol.
91%
18°C
$80 Vol.
35%
19°C
$52 Vol.
37%
20°C
$65 Vol.
48%
21°C
$434 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
26°C ou mais
$26 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and cloud cover associated with the expected onset of the Huaxi Autumn Rain period around September 15 are the dominant drivers, suppressing daytime heating and promoting radiative cooling overnight under high humidity and light northerly flow. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight minima of 19–21 °C, consistent with September climatological lows near 21–22 °C but tempered by the atypical early-season moisture surge. Current surface observations and short-range guidance show temperatures already hovering near 20 °C with widespread precipitation, limiting upside potential and concentrating market-implied odds on 19–20 °C while assigning modest probability to slightly cooler readings if heavier rain enhances evaporative cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$1,356Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and cloud cover associated with the expected onset of the Huaxi Autumn Rain period around September 15 are the dominant drivers, suppressing daytime heating and promoting radiative cooling overnight under high humidity and light northerly flow. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight minima of 19–21 °C, consistent with September climatological lows near 21–22 °C but tempered by the atypical early-season moisture surge. Current surface observations and short-range guidance show temperatures already hovering near 20 °C with widespread precipitation, limiting upside potential and concentrating market-implied odds on 19–20 °C while assigning modest probability to slightly cooler readings if heavier rain enhances evaporative cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,356Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and cloud cover associated with the expected onset of the Huaxi Autumn Rain period around September 15 are the dominant drivers, suppressing daytime heating and promoting radiative cooling overnight under high humidity and light northerly flow. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight minima of 19–21 °C, consistent with September climatological lows near 21–22 °C but tempered by the atypical early-season moisture surge. Current surface observations and short-range guidance show temperatures already hovering near 20 °C with widespread precipitation, limiting upside potential and concentrating market-implied odds on 19–20 °C while assigning modest probability to slightly cooler readings if heavier rain enhances evaporative cooling.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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