The market's near-certain pricing on 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading of that value, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nighttime lows commonly range 25–28°C under stable subtropical high pressure. Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts showed no significant cooling influences such as a monsoon surge or upper-level trough, aligning with surface observations and preventing any downward revision. While post-event data audits or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued, leaving the current trader consensus firmly anchored to verified measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 9 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 9 de setembro?
27°C 100.0%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,767 Vol.
$19,767 Vol.
9 set 2026
21°C ou menos
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Sim
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C ou mais
Não
27°C 100.0%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,767 Vol.
$19,767 Vol.
9 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$95 Vol.
Não
22°C
$1,102 Vol.
Não
23°C
$647 Vol.
Não
24°C
$332 Vol.
Não
25°C
$1,158 Vol.
Não
26°C
$3,106 Vol.
Não
27°C
$8,521 Vol.
Sim
28°C
$2,027 Vol.
Não
29°C
$2,278 Vol.
Não
30°C
$260 Vol.
Não
31°C ou mais
$241 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain pricing on 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading of that value, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nighttime lows commonly range 25–28°C under stable subtropical high pressure. Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts showed no significant cooling influences such as a monsoon surge or upper-level trough, aligning with surface observations and preventing any downward revision. While post-event data audits or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued, leaving the current trader consensus firmly anchored to verified measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$19,767Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain pricing on 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading of that value, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nighttime lows commonly range 25–28°C under stable subtropical high pressure. Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts showed no significant cooling influences such as a monsoon surge or upper-level trough, aligning with surface observations and preventing any downward revision. While post-event data audits or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued, leaving the current trader consensus firmly anchored to verified measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,767Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The market's near-certain pricing on 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading of that value, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nighttime lows commonly range 25–28°C under stable subtropical high pressure. Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts showed no significant cooling influences such as a monsoon surge or upper-level trough, aligning with surface observations and preventing any downward revision. While post-event data audits or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued, leaving the current trader consensus firmly anchored to verified measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions