Official Malaysian Meteorological Department forecasts set a minimum of 25°C for Kuala Lumpur on August 26 amid isolated thunderstorms, aligning with BBC and Met Office guidance projecting nighttime lows of 25–26°C. In this equatorial setting, radiative cooling overnight is limited by high humidity and frequent cloud cover, while convective activity can either enhance cooling through downdrafts or suppress it via persistent cloudiness and light winds. Ensemble model spreads reflect this uncertainty, with historical August minima clustering near 24–26°C. Traders weigh these factors against the precise station threshold for resolution, producing tightly matched implied probabilities around 25–26°C as fresh model runs and regional observations arrive before the overnight minimum window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Kuala Lumpur em 26 de agosto?
22°C 41%
25°C 38%
26°C 38%
27°C 27%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
41%
23°C
17%
24°C
25%
25°C
38%
26°C
38%
27°C
27%
28°C
15%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 41%
25°C 38%
26°C 38%
27°C 27%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
41%
23°C
17%
24°C
25%
25°C
38%
26°C
38%
27°C
27%
28°C
15%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Malaysian Meteorological Department forecasts set a minimum of 25°C for Kuala Lumpur on August 26 amid isolated thunderstorms, aligning with BBC and Met Office guidance projecting nighttime lows of 25–26°C. In this equatorial setting, radiative cooling overnight is limited by high humidity and frequent cloud cover, while convective activity can either enhance cooling through downdrafts or suppress it via persistent cloudiness and light winds. Ensemble model spreads reflect this uncertainty, with historical August minima clustering near 24–26°C. Traders weigh these factors against the precise station threshold for resolution, producing tightly matched implied probabilities around 25–26°C as fresh model runs and regional observations arrive before the overnight minimum window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions