Recent forecast consensus from European models and local agencies such as ilMeteo indicates a minimum temperature near 22 °C for Milan on 27 August 2026, driven by warm, humid air under variable cloud cover with isolated thunderstorms that limit overnight radiational cooling. The Po Valley location typically experiences August nocturnal lows of 20–24 °C; current conditions, including dew points near 20 °C and light easterly flow, support the upper end of that range while suppressing deeper cooling. Updated model runs show little deviation from this central value, with only modest uncertainty from timing of any showers, aligning trader consensus with the 89 % market-implied probability for exactly 22 °C as the daily low.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Milão no dia 27 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Milão no dia 27 de agosto?
22°C 99.5%
20°C 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
16°C or below <1%
$2,114 Vol.
$2,114 Vol.
27 ago 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 99.5%
20°C 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
16°C or below <1%
$2,114 Vol.
$2,114 Vol.
27 ago 2026
16°C or below
$95 Vol.
No
17°C
$150 Vol.
No
18°C
$109 Vol.
No
19°C
$128 Vol.
No
20°C
$117 Vol.
No
21°C
$53 Vol.
No
22°C
$691 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$183 Vol.
No
24°C
$300 Vol.
No
25°C
$167 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$121 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from European models and local agencies such as ilMeteo indicates a minimum temperature near 22 °C for Milan on 27 August 2026, driven by warm, humid air under variable cloud cover with isolated thunderstorms that limit overnight radiational cooling. The Po Valley location typically experiences August nocturnal lows of 20–24 °C; current conditions, including dew points near 20 °C and light easterly flow, support the upper end of that range while suppressing deeper cooling. Updated model runs show little deviation from this central value, with only modest uncertainty from timing of any showers, aligning trader consensus with the 89 % market-implied probability for exactly 22 °C as the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,114Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from European models and local agencies such as ilMeteo indicates a minimum temperature near 22 °C for Milan on 27 August 2026, driven by warm, humid air under variable cloud cover with isolated thunderstorms that limit overnight radiational cooling. The Po Valley location typically experiences August nocturnal lows of 20–24 °C; current conditions, including dew points near 20 °C and light easterly flow, support the upper end of that range while suppressing deeper cooling. Updated model runs show little deviation from this central value, with only modest uncertainty from timing of any showers, aligning trader consensus with the 89 % market-implied probability for exactly 22 °C as the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,114Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Recent forecast consensus from European models and local agencies such as ilMeteo indicates a minimum temperature near 22 °C for Milan on 27 August 2026, driven by warm, humid air under variable cloud cover with isolated thunderstorms that limit overnight radiational cooling. The Po Valley location typically experiences August nocturnal lows of 20–24 °C; current conditions, including dew points near 20 °C and light easterly flow, support the upper end of that range while suppressing deeper cooling. Updated model runs show little deviation from this central value, with only modest uncertainty from timing of any showers, aligning trader consensus with the 89 % market-implied probability for exactly 22 °C as the daily low.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions