Forecast models from agencies and ensembles indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions overnight into August 27 with light easterly winds, supporting radiative cooling under high pressure but limiting extreme drops. Current consensus from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced runs, and regional guidance points to overnight lows near 16–19°C, though slight model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates uncertainty around whether minima reach the mid-teens or stay higher. Traders appear to price the tight cluster near 12–15°C as reflecting this variability and the possibility of localized cooling in suburban stations versus the official Munich site, with historical August lows around 13°C providing context for the implied probabilities. Updated model runs and observational data in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.