Persistent cloud cover and a light southerly flow ahead of East Asian monsoon influences have limited overnight radiational cooling across Seoul, positioning the daily minimum near 19–21°C according to Korea Meteorological Administration guidance. This synoptic setup, with mostly cloudy skies and elevated humidity, supports the market’s concentration of implied probability on 21°C (43.5 %), 20°C (32.0 %), and 19°C (28.0 %). Mid-June climatology shows typical lows of 15–18°C, so the current warmer signal reflects both the forecast evolution and reduced diurnal temperature range. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and observed trends over historical averages, with resolution hinging on the official morning minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul em 14 de junho?
19°C 28%
21°C 15%
18°C 2.0%
16°C <1%
15°C ou menos
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
28%
20°C
40%
21°C
21%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou mais
<1%
19°C 28%
21°C 15%
18°C 2.0%
16°C <1%
15°C ou menos
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
28%
20°C
40%
21°C
21%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and a light southerly flow ahead of East Asian monsoon influences have limited overnight radiational cooling across Seoul, positioning the daily minimum near 19–21°C according to Korea Meteorological Administration guidance. This synoptic setup, with mostly cloudy skies and elevated humidity, supports the market’s concentration of implied probability on 21°C (43.5 %), 20°C (32.0 %), and 19°C (28.0 %). Mid-June climatology shows typical lows of 15–18°C, so the current warmer signal reflects both the forecast evolution and reduced diurnal temperature range. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and observed trends over historical averages, with resolution hinging on the official morning minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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