Latest forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a minimum temperature of 15–17°C in Incheon on September 16 under clear skies, light easterly winds, and strong radiative cooling overnight. High pressure and dry conditions favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 27–28°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C (49.5% implied probability). Recent model runs show minimal shifts in the overnight low, with ensemble spreads centered near 16°C and limited downside risk below 15°C given the absence of cloud cover or frontal activity. Traders are pricing the narrow range because historical September minima in the region average 17–18°C, yet current synoptic setup supports a slightly cooler outcome. Updated guidance from official agencies will be the next key catalyst before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 16 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 16 de setembro?
16°C 48%
15°C 25%
17°C 20%
13°C 15%
NOVO
NOVO
16 set 2026
11°C ou menos
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
15%
14°C
5%
15°C
25%
16°C
48%
17°C
20%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
5%
21°C ou superior
5%
16°C 48%
15°C 25%
17°C 20%
13°C 15%
NOVO
NOVO
16 set 2026
11°C ou menos
$5 Vol.
1%
12°C
$5 Vol.
1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
15%
14°C
$0 Vol.
5%
15°C
$985 Vol.
25%
16°C
$1,032 Vol.
48%
17°C
$580 Vol.
20%
18°C
$72 Vol.
4%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
5%
21°C ou superior
$110 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a minimum temperature of 15–17°C in Incheon on September 16 under clear skies, light easterly winds, and strong radiative cooling overnight. High pressure and dry conditions favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 27–28°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C (49.5% implied probability). Recent model runs show minimal shifts in the overnight low, with ensemble spreads centered near 16°C and limited downside risk below 15°C given the absence of cloud cover or frontal activity. Traders are pricing the narrow range because historical September minima in the region average 17–18°C, yet current synoptic setup supports a slightly cooler outcome. Updated guidance from official agencies will be the next key catalyst before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,789Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a minimum temperature of 15–17°C in Incheon on September 16 under clear skies, light easterly winds, and strong radiative cooling overnight. High pressure and dry conditions favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 27–28°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C (49.5% implied probability). Recent model runs show minimal shifts in the overnight low, with ensemble spreads centered near 16°C and limited downside risk below 15°C given the absence of cloud cover or frontal activity. Traders are pricing the narrow range because historical September minima in the region average 17–18°C, yet current synoptic setup supports a slightly cooler outcome. Updated guidance from official agencies will be the next key catalyst before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,789Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a minimum temperature of 15–17°C in Incheon on September 16 under clear skies, light easterly winds, and strong radiative cooling overnight. High pressure and dry conditions favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 27–28°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C (49.5% implied probability). Recent model runs show minimal shifts in the overnight low, with ensemble spreads centered near 16°C and limited downside risk below 15°C given the absence of cloud cover or frontal activity. Traders are pricing the narrow range because historical September minima in the region average 17–18°C, yet current synoptic setup supports a slightly cooler outcome. Updated guidance from official agencies will be the next key catalyst before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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