Official meteorological stations across Shanghai, including Xujiahui and Baoshan, recorded a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 29 amid humid subtropical conditions with light rain, overcast skies, and light easterly winds that limited nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with Shanghai Meteorological Bureau forecasts and model consensus projecting overnight lows near 27–28°C, reflecting typical late-August patterns where high humidity and cloud cover moderate temperature drops. The market-implied 100% probability for 27°C captures this verified observational consensus backed by real trader capital. Revised station data or post-event quality checks could theoretically alter the official minimum, though such adjustments remain unlikely given the consistency across multiple sites.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 29 de agosto?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$10,444 Vol.
$10,444 Vol.
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$10,444 Vol.
$10,444 Vol.
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
$212 Vol.
No
23°C
$103 Vol.
No
24°C
$115 Vol.
No
25°C
$387 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,126 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,865 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$2,047 Vol.
No
29°C
$276 Vol.
No
30°C
$108 Vol.
No
31°C
$103 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$103 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological stations across Shanghai, including Xujiahui and Baoshan, recorded a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 29 amid humid subtropical conditions with light rain, overcast skies, and light easterly winds that limited nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with Shanghai Meteorological Bureau forecasts and model consensus projecting overnight lows near 27–28°C, reflecting typical late-August patterns where high humidity and cloud cover moderate temperature drops. The market-implied 100% probability for 27°C captures this verified observational consensus backed by real trader capital. Revised station data or post-event quality checks could theoretically alter the official minimum, though such adjustments remain unlikely given the consistency across multiple sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$10,444Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological stations across Shanghai, including Xujiahui and Baoshan, recorded a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 29 amid humid subtropical conditions with light rain, overcast skies, and light easterly winds that limited nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with Shanghai Meteorological Bureau forecasts and model consensus projecting overnight lows near 27–28°C, reflecting typical late-August patterns where high humidity and cloud cover moderate temperature drops. The market-implied 100% probability for 27°C captures this verified observational consensus backed by real trader capital. Revised station data or post-event quality checks could theoretically alter the official minimum, though such adjustments remain unlikely given the consistency across multiple sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,444Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official meteorological stations across Shanghai, including Xujiahui and Baoshan, recorded a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 29 amid humid subtropical conditions with light rain, overcast skies, and light easterly winds that limited nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with Shanghai Meteorological Bureau forecasts and model consensus projecting overnight lows near 27–28°C, reflecting typical late-August patterns where high humidity and cloud cover moderate temperature drops. The market-implied 100% probability for 27°C captures this verified observational consensus backed by real trader capital. Revised station data or post-event quality checks could theoretically alter the official minimum, though such adjustments remain unlikely given the consistency across multiple sites.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions