**Trader sentiment for the lowest Tokyo temperature on June 14, 2026, is driven by official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus projecting a minimum near 21°C under typical early-summer tsuyu conditions.** Current guidance shows partly cloudy to overcast skies with light winds and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, anchoring overnight lows in the 19–21°C range consistent with climatological averages for mid-June. Recent model runs indicate no significant cold-air advection or high-pressure strengthening that would push readings lower, supporting the 87% implied probability for 21°C and 12% for 20°C. Resolution will depend on official station measurements at the close of the 24-hour period, with low expected deviation outside this narrow band absent an unanticipated frontal passage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio em 14 de junho?
21°C 89%
20°C 10%
19°C 3.3%
18°C <1%
$14,606 Vol.
$14,606 Vol.
16°C ou menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
10%
21°C
89%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C ou mais
<1%
21°C 89%
20°C 10%
19°C 3.3%
18°C <1%
$14,606 Vol.
$14,606 Vol.
16°C ou menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
10%
21°C
89%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest Tokyo temperature on June 14, 2026, is driven by official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus projecting a minimum near 21°C under typical early-summer tsuyu conditions.** Current guidance shows partly cloudy to overcast skies with light winds and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, anchoring overnight lows in the 19–21°C range consistent with climatological averages for mid-June. Recent model runs indicate no significant cold-air advection or high-pressure strengthening that would push readings lower, supporting the 87% implied probability for 21°C and 12% for 20°C. Resolution will depend on official station measurements at the close of the 24-hour period, with low expected deviation outside this narrow band absent an unanticipated frontal passage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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