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icon for Mahmoud Abbas como presidente palestino por...?

Mahmoud Abbas como presidente palestino por...?

icon for Mahmoud Abbas como presidente palestino por...?

Mahmoud Abbas como presidente palestino por...?

$142,390 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$142,390 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de dezembro

$53,790 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas, now in his early 90s, continues to lead the Palestinian Authority and Fatah without signs of imminent departure, despite repeated polls showing 80 percent or more of Palestinians favoring his resignation. He formalized a succession framework in late 2025 designating Vice President Hussein al-Sheikh as interim leader for up to 180 days pending elections if a vacancy occurs. Abbas secured re-election as Fatah head in May 2026, elevated his son Yasser to the central committee, and issued decrees scheduling legislative elections for November 28, 2026, with presidential voting slated for 2027. Recent activity includes Cairo talks with Egyptian President Sisi on September 16, 2026, focused on Gaza and reconciliation, alongside another U.S. visa denial for the UN General Assembly. Historical postponements, internal Fatah rivalries involving figures such as Marwan Barghouti and Mohammed Dahlan, and questions over whether elections will occur on schedule remain central variables for any near-term leadership change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$142,390
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas, now in his early 90s, continues to lead the Palestinian Authority and Fatah without signs of imminent departure, despite repeated polls showing 80 percent or more of Palestinians favoring his resignation. He formalized a succession framework in late 2025 designating Vice President Hussein al-Sheikh as interim leader for up to 180 days pending elections if a vacancy occurs. Abbas secured re-election as Fatah head in May 2026, elevated his son Yasser to the central committee, and issued decrees scheduling legislative elections for November 28, 2026, with presidential voting slated for 2027. Recent activity includes Cairo talks with Egyptian President Sisi on September 16, 2026, focused on Gaza and reconciliation, alongside another U.S. visa denial for the UN General Assembly. Historical postponements, internal Fatah rivalries involving figures such as Marwan Barghouti and Mohammed Dahlan, and questions over whether elections will occur on schedule remain central variables for any near-term leadership change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$142,390
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Mahmoud Abbas como presidente palestino por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 14%, followed by "30 de junho" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Mahmoud Abbas como presidente palestino por...?" has generated $142.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Mahmoud Abbas como presidente palestino por...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Mahmoud Abbas como presidente palestino por...?" is "31 de dezembro" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de junho" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Mahmoud Abbas como presidente palestino por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.