Skip to main content
icon for Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Eleições·Brasil

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

icon for Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Eleições·Brasil

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

Cleitinho Azevedo 56%

Rodrigo Pacheco 19%

Gabriel Azevedo 12.0%

Alexandre Kalil 9.6%

Polymarket

$16,925 Vol.

Cleitinho Azevedo 56%

Rodrigo Pacheco 19%

Gabriel Azevedo 12.0%

Alexandre Kalil 9.6%

Polymarket

$16,925 Vol.

icon for Cleitinho Azevedo

Cleitinho Azevedo

$5,649 Vol.

56%

icon for Rodrigo Pacheco

Rodrigo Pacheco

$2,946 Vol.

19%

icon for Gabriel Azevedo

Gabriel Azevedo

$1,118 Vol.

10%

icon for Alexandre Kalil

Alexandre Kalil

$743 Vol.

10%

icon for Tadeu Leite

Tadeu Leite

$1,518 Vol.

6%

icon for Alexandre Silveira

Alexandre Silveira

$595 Vol.

6%

icon for Nikolas Ferreira

Nikolas Ferreira

$2,129 Vol.

5%

icon for Aécio Neves

Aécio Neves

$631 Vol.

4%

icon for Benoni Mendes

Benoni Mendes

$972 Vol.

3%

icon for Mateus Simões

Mateus Simões

$624 Vol.

2%

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) commands trader consensus as the frontrunner for the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, reflecting his consistent leads in recent polls that consolidate bolsonarista and conservative support amid a fragmented field. The DOXA survey from May 1-5 showed him at 28-30% in first-round scenarios, ahead of Alexandre Kalil (PDT) at 21-24%, with narrow second-round edges over Kalil (37-34%) and wider margins against others like Mateus Simões (PSD) and Rodrigo Pacheco (PSB). Earlier Genial/Quaest polling (April 22-26) had him stronger at 30-37%, winning all simulated runoffs. Opposition disunity and lack of a clear anti-Cleitinho coalition keep challengers like Pacheco and Gabriel Azevedo (MDB) trailing, though upcoming polls and candidate announcements could shift dynamics.

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$16,925
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) commands trader consensus as the frontrunner for the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, reflecting his consistent leads in recent polls that consolidate bolsonarista and conservative support amid a fragmented field. The DOXA survey from May 1-5 showed him at 28-30% in first-round scenarios, ahead of Alexandre Kalil (PDT) at 21-24%, with narrow second-round edges over Kalil (37-34%) and wider margins against others like Mateus Simões (PSD) and Rodrigo Pacheco (PSB). Earlier Genial/Quaest polling (April 22-26) had him stronger at 30-37%, winning all simulated runoffs. Opposition disunity and lack of a clear anti-Cleitinho coalition keep challengers like Pacheco and Gabriel Azevedo (MDB) trailing, though upcoming polls and candidate announcements could shift dynamics.

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$16,925
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cleitinho Azevedo" at 56%, followed by "Rodrigo Pacheco" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" has generated $16.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" is "Cleitinho Azevedo" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rodrigo Pacheco" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.