Mojtaba Khamenei, selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as Supreme Leader in March 2026 following the February assassination of his father Ali Khamenei, has issued only written statements and limited video footage without verified in-person public appearances. Security concerns tied to ongoing threats from the 2026 conflict, combined with reports of his injuries, have kept him from events such as funeral processions and memorial ceremonies, prompting state media releases of undated clips in August instead. Traders assess low probabilities for an appearance by late August due to these patterns, though scheduled official meetings, national commemorations, or shifts in regional diplomacy could alter the timeline if they prompt a confirmed public sighting.