Recent polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show Labour holding a narrow lead in party vote at around 32 percent, with National close behind near 30 percent and smaller parties trailing further. This positioning, combined with the National-led coalition’s mixed results in recent surveys after the late-May 2026 budget, has shaped trader views on second-place outcomes. Cost-of-living pressures, fuel prices, and immigration concerns remain key voter issues, while Labour’s opposition status and National’s incumbency create competitive dynamics for the middle rankings. Lower probabilities for NZ First, ACT, Te Pāti Māori, and the Greens reflect their consistent single-digit to low-teen support levels across multiple June 2026 surveys. Market pricing treats these figures as the current skin-in-the-game consensus ahead of the final campaign stretch.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
National Party 66%
Labour Party 33%
New Zealand First Party 13%
ACT New Zealand 12%
NOVO
NOVO
7 nov 2026
National Party
46%
Labour Party
43%
New Zealand First Party
20%
ACT New Zealand
21%
Te Pāti Māori
17%
Green Party
7%
National Party 66%
Labour Party 33%
New Zealand First Party 13%
ACT New Zealand 12%
NOVO
NOVO
7 nov 2026
National Party
$580 Vol.
46%
Labour Party
$572 Vol.
43%
New Zealand First Party
$515 Vol.
20%
ACT New Zealand
$514 Vol.
21%
Te Pāti Māori
$484 Vol.
17%
Green Party
$254 Vol.
7%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show Labour holding a narrow lead in party vote at around 32 percent, with National close behind near 30 percent and smaller parties trailing further. This positioning, combined with the National-led coalition’s mixed results in recent surveys after the late-May 2026 budget, has shaped trader views on second-place outcomes. Cost-of-living pressures, fuel prices, and immigration concerns remain key voter issues, while Labour’s opposition status and National’s incumbency create competitive dynamics for the middle rankings. Lower probabilities for NZ First, ACT, Te Pāti Māori, and the Greens reflect their consistent single-digit to low-teen support levels across multiple June 2026 surveys. Market pricing treats these figures as the current skin-in-the-game consensus ahead of the final campaign stretch.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Mercado Aberto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Volume
$2,920Data de Término
7 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show Labour holding a narrow lead in party vote at around 32 percent, with National close behind near 30 percent and smaller parties trailing further. This positioning, combined with the National-led coalition’s mixed results in recent surveys after the late-May 2026 budget, has shaped trader views on second-place outcomes. Cost-of-living pressures, fuel prices, and immigration concerns remain key voter issues, while Labour’s opposition status and National’s incumbency create competitive dynamics for the middle rankings. Lower probabilities for NZ First, ACT, Te Pāti Māori, and the Greens reflect their consistent single-digit to low-teen support levels across multiple June 2026 surveys. Market pricing treats these figures as the current skin-in-the-game consensus ahead of the final campaign stretch.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$2,920Data de Término
7 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show Labour holding a narrow lead in party vote at around 32 percent, with National close behind near 30 percent and smaller parties trailing further. This positioning, combined with the National-led coalition’s mixed results in recent surveys after the late-May 2026 budget, has shaped trader views on second-place outcomes. Cost-of-living pressures, fuel prices, and immigration concerns remain key voter issues, while Labour’s opposition status and National’s incumbency create competitive dynamics for the middle rankings. Lower probabilities for NZ First, ACT, Te Pāti Māori, and the Greens reflect their consistent single-digit to low-teen support levels across multiple June 2026 surveys. Market pricing treats these figures as the current skin-in-the-game consensus ahead of the final campaign stretch.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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