Recent polls show National and Labour nearly tied in party vote share around 30 percent each, with NZ First rising toward double digits and other minor parties fragmenting support, keeping the contest for second place tight ahead of the November 7 election. Economic conditions, including fragile recovery and cost-of-living pressures, continue to shape voter preferences between the National-led coalition and Labour-led opposition. Coalition dynamics and minor-party negotiations add volatility to seat projections, while the three-month window before voting leaves room for polling shifts driven by scheduled debates, economic releases, or campaign events. Trader consensus reflects this narrow gap, with separation likely hinging on turnout among key voting blocs or late momentum for either major party.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
National Party 53%
Labour Party 46%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Green Party <1%
$17,480 Vol.
$17,480 Vol.
7 nov 2026
National Party
53%
Labour Party
46%
New Zealand First Party
1%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
National Party 53%
Labour Party 46%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Green Party <1%
$17,480 Vol.
$17,480 Vol.
7 nov 2026
National Party
$8,598 Vol.
53%
Labour Party
$4,636 Vol.
46%
New Zealand First Party
$1,262 Vol.
1%
Green Party
$542 Vol.
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$1,243 Vol.
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
$1,199 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls show National and Labour nearly tied in party vote share around 30 percent each, with NZ First rising toward double digits and other minor parties fragmenting support, keeping the contest for second place tight ahead of the November 7 election. Economic conditions, including fragile recovery and cost-of-living pressures, continue to shape voter preferences between the National-led coalition and Labour-led opposition. Coalition dynamics and minor-party negotiations add volatility to seat projections, while the three-month window before voting leaves room for polling shifts driven by scheduled debates, economic releases, or campaign events. Trader consensus reflects this narrow gap, with separation likely hinging on turnout among key voting blocs or late momentum for either major party.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Mercado Aberto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Volume
$17,480Data de Término
7 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls show National and Labour nearly tied in party vote share around 30 percent each, with NZ First rising toward double digits and other minor parties fragmenting support, keeping the contest for second place tight ahead of the November 7 election. Economic conditions, including fragile recovery and cost-of-living pressures, continue to shape voter preferences between the National-led coalition and Labour-led opposition. Coalition dynamics and minor-party negotiations add volatility to seat projections, while the three-month window before voting leaves room for polling shifts driven by scheduled debates, economic releases, or campaign events. Trader consensus reflects this narrow gap, with separation likely hinging on turnout among key voting blocs or late momentum for either major party.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$17,480Data de Término
7 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show National and Labour nearly tied in party vote share around 30 percent each, with NZ First rising toward double digits and other minor parties fragmenting support, keeping the contest for second place tight ahead of the November 7 election. Economic conditions, including fragile recovery and cost-of-living pressures, continue to shape voter preferences between the National-led coalition and Labour-led opposition. Coalition dynamics and minor-party negotiations add volatility to seat projections, while the three-month window before voting leaves room for polling shifts driven by scheduled debates, economic releases, or campaign events. Trader consensus reflects this narrow gap, with separation likely hinging on turnout among key voting blocs or late momentum for either major party.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
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NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
56%
Labour
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