Paul St-Pierre Plamondon of the Parti Québécois maintains an 85% implied probability in the market due to the party's consistent lead in recent polling averages around 28-29% voter support ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election. The PQ has held this edge through the campaign's early weeks, bolstered by emphasis on sovereignty timelines, health system reforms, and infrastructure pledges such as an eastern Montreal REM extension. Incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec Premier Christine Fréchette trails at 6.2% amid softening favorability ratings and a party share near 22%, while Liberal leader Charles Milliard and others register lower single-digit odds reflecting fragmented opposition and limited momentum shifts in the final stretch.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPróxima Premier de Quebec
Próxima Premier de Quebec
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 85%
Christine Fréchette 6.0%
Charles Milliard 4.1%
Bernard Drainville <1%
$337,910 Vol.
$337,910 Vol.
4 out 2026
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
85%
Christine Fréchette
6%
Charles Milliard
4%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Éric Duhaime
<1%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 85%
Christine Fréchette 6.0%
Charles Milliard 4.1%
Bernard Drainville <1%
$337,910 Vol.
$337,910 Vol.
4 out 2026
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
$26,229 Vol.
85%
Christine Fréchette
$85,962 Vol.
6%
Charles Milliard
$22,459 Vol.
4%
Bernard Drainville
$61,577 Vol.
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
$38,807 Vol.
<1%
Éric Duhaime
$49,514 Vol.
<1%
Sol Zanetti
$53,362 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon of the Parti Québécois maintains an 85% implied probability in the market due to the party's consistent lead in recent polling averages around 28-29% voter support ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election. The PQ has held this edge through the campaign's early weeks, bolstered by emphasis on sovereignty timelines, health system reforms, and infrastructure pledges such as an eastern Montreal REM extension. Incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec Premier Christine Fréchette trails at 6.2% amid softening favorability ratings and a party share near 22%, while Liberal leader Charles Milliard and others register lower single-digit odds reflecting fragmented opposition and limited momentum shifts in the final stretch.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Volume
$337,910Data de Término
1 jul 2027Mercado Aberto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon of the Parti Québécois maintains an 85% implied probability in the market due to the party's consistent lead in recent polling averages around 28-29% voter support ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election. The PQ has held this edge through the campaign's early weeks, bolstered by emphasis on sovereignty timelines, health system reforms, and infrastructure pledges such as an eastern Montreal REM extension. Incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec Premier Christine Fréchette trails at 6.2% amid softening favorability ratings and a party share near 22%, while Liberal leader Charles Milliard and others register lower single-digit odds reflecting fragmented opposition and limited momentum shifts in the final stretch.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$337,910Data de Término
1 jul 2027Mercado Aberto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Paul St-Pierre Plamondon of the Parti Québécois maintains an 85% implied probability in the market due to the party's consistent lead in recent polling averages around 28-29% voter support ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election. The PQ has held this edge through the campaign's early weeks, bolstered by emphasis on sovereignty timelines, health system reforms, and infrastructure pledges such as an eastern Montreal REM extension. Incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec Premier Christine Fréchette trails at 6.2% amid softening favorability ratings and a party share near 22%, while Liberal leader Charles Milliard and others register lower single-digit odds reflecting fragmented opposition and limited momentum shifts in the final stretch.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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