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icon for Vencedor da eleição da liderança do Partido Liberal de Ontário
Política·Canadá

Vencedor da eleição da liderança do Partido Liberal de Ontário

icon for Vencedor da eleição da liderança do Partido Liberal de Ontário
Política·Canadá

Vencedor da eleição da liderança do Partido Liberal de Ontário

Navdeep Bains 50%

Lee Fairclough 32%

Stephanie Bowman 17.8%

Eric Lombardi 6%

Polymarket
NOVO

Navdeep Bains 50%

Lee Fairclough 32%

Stephanie Bowman 17.8%

Eric Lombardi 6%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Navdeep Bains

Navdeep Bains

$3,642 Vol.

50%

icon for Lee Fairclough

Lee Fairclough

$1,609 Vol.

32%

icon for Stephanie Bowman

Stephanie Bowman

$266 Vol.

15%

icon for Eric Lombardi

Eric Lombardi

$237 Vol.

6%

icon for Dylan Marando

Dylan Marando

$129 Vol.

3%

The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.Navdeep Bains holds a narrow lead in the Ontario Liberal Party leadership contest, reflecting his federal cabinet experience as innovation minister and stronger early fundraising totals compared with rivals. Lee Fairclough sits second after receiving a high-profile endorsement from former premier Kathleen Wynne in mid-September, while Stephanie Bowman, Eric Lombardi and Dylan Marando trail with support tied to their provincial legislative records, housing focus and policy backgrounds. The race remains closely contested because the five candidates bring distinct strengths to a ranked-ballot vote scheduled for November 9–20, with no single contender yet consolidating broad party support ahead of the November 21 result. Additional endorsements, debate performances and final membership drives could widen gaps before voting begins.

The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
Volume
$5,883
Data de Término
21 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 11:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.Navdeep Bains holds a narrow lead in the Ontario Liberal Party leadership contest, reflecting his federal cabinet experience as innovation minister and stronger early fundraising totals compared with rivals. Lee Fairclough sits second after receiving a high-profile endorsement from former premier Kathleen Wynne in mid-September, while Stephanie Bowman, Eric Lombardi and Dylan Marando trail with support tied to their provincial legislative records, housing focus and policy backgrounds. The race remains closely contested because the five candidates bring distinct strengths to a ranked-ballot vote scheduled for November 9–20, with no single contender yet consolidating broad party support ahead of the November 21 result. Additional endorsements, debate performances and final membership drives could widen gaps before voting begins.

The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
Volume
$5,883
Data de Término
21 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 11:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição da liderança do Partido Liberal de Ontário" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Navdeep Bains" at 50%, followed by "Lee Fairclough" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição da liderança do Partido Liberal de Ontário" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição da liderança do Partido Liberal de Ontário," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição da liderança do Partido Liberal de Ontário" is "Navdeep Bains" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lee Fairclough" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição da liderança do Partido Liberal de Ontário" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.